Leeds - Burnley: betting tip (cf 3.10) and bets on the English Premier League match

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Leeds United - Burnley
On May 1, Leeds and Burnley will open the 35th round of the English Premier League. The Peacocks had a five-match unbeaten streak in the Premier League and created a comfortable six-point lead from the relegation zone. The Maroon ones no longer have a chance to keep their registration and will go back to the Championship at the end of the season. What to expect from the upcoming match and which reliable bets to choose? - you can find out about this from our betting tip

Command Analysis

Leeds United

Current form

Leeds has been successfully coping with the main task of maintaining its registration in the Premier League throughout the season. In 34 rounds, the peacocks scored 40 points, with which they are in 15th place, breaking away from the relegation zone by six points. In general, Daniel Farke's team is successfully conducting the entire second round, and right now it is on a five-match winless streak in the Premier League. During this period, special attention should be paid not only to the 2-1 away victory over Manchester United, but also to the confident 3-0 home victory over outsider Wolverhampton. Closer to the end of the season, the peacocks are already able to take points in class in confrontations with the main outsiders, and this despite the fact that they themselves managed to visit the relegation zone.

In the previous round, Leeds drew 2-2 with Bournemouth on the road. I had to fight back twice in that meeting, and I managed to equalize the score only in the 97th minute. Away matches during the season are not the team's strong point (only two wins). Another thing is that Leeds have 21 points at home, which is 11th in the Premier League.

Last week Leeds had a chance to qualify for the FA Cup final. The peacocks played at Wembley in the semi-finals with Chelsea, they were in no way inferior to their famous opponent, but once again the realization failed: ten shots, three of them on target. They failed to score, but the aristocrats used one of their chances in the first half and won with a minimum score of 1-0.

Disqualifications and injuries

Leeds have only Gruev on the injured list.

Interesting betting trends

  • In four of the last five matches, Leeds have not lost in the first half.
  • In 16 of the 19 previous matches, Leeds lost to their rivals on the sidelines.
  • The exchange of goals was recorded in three of Leeds' last five matches, taking into account all tournaments.

Approximate composition: Darlow– Justin, Biyol, Streik–Bogle, Ampadu, Tanaka, Gudmundsson–Aaronson, Okafor–Calvert-Lewin.

Burnley

Current form

Burnley has already lost even a theoretical chance of retaining their registration in the Premier League and is returning to the Championship, where they shone last season and were distinguished by their ultra-reliable defense. In the Premier League, strictly defensive tactics did not bring any effect, and the maroon team is clearly inferior to its competitors in terms of composition. And the once reliable defense turned out to be completely ineffective: 68 goals conceded in 34 matches, this is the worst figure in the Premier League.

At the moment, Burnley has an open streak of four defeats. During this period, 10 goals were conceded, in three cases the Maroon lost by a margin of at least two goals. Of the positive aspects, the only thing that can be noted is that Manchester City lost with a minimum score of 0:1 in the last round. At the same time, in that meeting, the townspeople did not use a huge number of chances, they scored 28 shots on goal, nine of them on target.

Burnley have only scored nine points in 17 matches away from home. The team is approaching the upcoming game on a series of three away defeats in a row. It is not surprising that, against the background of the disastrous results in the club, the coach resigned. Instead of Scott Parker, Michael Jackson will lead the Maroon in the near future.

Disqualifications and injuries

Cullen and Roberts are injured and will not play today. Amduni and Majbri's entry into the field is questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • Burnley have suffered three of their last four defeats by at least two goals.
  • In three of the previous five matches, the Maroon did not lose in the first half.
  • No more than two goals have been scored in three of Burnley's last five matches.

Approximate composition: Dubravka – Walker, Ekdal, Esteve, Hartman–Laurent, Ward-Prowse–Edwards, Ugochukwu, Anthony–Flemming.

xG Expected goals
Leeds United
1.13xG per Match0.735
Burnley

Trends

The bet is an accurate score of 3:1

13.00

Burnley have suffered two of their last four defeats by two goals.

Bet Goals in both halves – yes

1.52

The bet was successful in three of Leeds' last five matches

Burnley'sbetWon't Lose on Corners

3.00

In three of the previous four matches, Burnley had not lost on corners.

Burnley's Yellow Card VictoryBet

1.60

In four of the previous five matches, Burnley players received more warnings than their opponents.

Tip and bets

TipLeeds with a head start (-1.5)
2.00

Burnley had Parker's resignation, but it is unlikely that under Jackson's leadership there will be any improvement in results at the end of the season. As such, the players have no motivation, as there is not even a theoretical chance of maintaining a residence permit in the Premier League. The Maroon defense regularly malfunctions, the team misses the most in the Premier League. Yes, in the last round we lost to Manchester City with a minimum score of 0:1, but the opponent had a huge amount of momentum, the implementation failed. Before that, Burnley suffered three defeats in a row with a difference of more than one goal, conceding at least two goals.

Leeds have a six-point lead over the relegation zone, but retaining their registration is not yet guaranteed, and the upcoming match against an outsider will significantly improve the situation. Farke's team is fine with its current form, as evidenced by its five-match unbeaten streak in the Premier League. At that stage, the peacocks beat Wolverhampton at home without any problems, and most likely, they will confidently deal with Burnley.

Our prediction is that Leeds will win with an Asian handicap (-1.5) by a factor of 2.00

Did you like the tips?
Tiptotal more than 2.5 goals
1.67

Bet on the total

Leeds strives to play number one in their field, they are not afraid to go forward with great strength. Implementation fails periodically, but Farke's team usually has a lot of chances at home against any opponents. Burnley's defense at the Premier League level cannot withstand constant pressure, often fails, and it is impossible to sit out at their own goal. In Burnley's last two away matches against Fulham and Nottingham Forest, they conceded a total of seven goals. We expect the upcoming meeting to be productive.

The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.67

A bet on the exact difference in the bill

Burnley lost three matches in a row on the road in the Premier League, all defeats were by a margin of more than one goal, the Maroon lost twice with a two-goal handicap. Given that the visitors are experiencing defensive problems, we hope that Leeds will be able to arrange a comfortable victory with a two-goal advantage today.

Prediction – Leeds win with a two-goal advantage with a coefficient of 3.10

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips11
% of profit4.95%
Win percentage81.82%
Average coefficient1.94
Wins81.82%  (9)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses18.18%  (2)
Total tips224
% of profit11.34%
Win percentage46.43%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins46.43%  (104)
Refunds8.04%  (18)
Loses45.54%  (102)