LiontipsChelsea - Leeds: betting tip (cf 2.38) and bets on the FA Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
Under the leadership of Liam Rosenor, Chelsea not only suffered five consecutive defeats in the Premier League, but also did not score a single goal in these matches. The last time this happened in the club's history was 114 years ago. As a result, after the 0-3 defeat to Brighton in the last round, the coach was dismissed. Calum MacFarlane, who worked as an assistant on the coaching staff, was appointed in his place. The situation for the aristocrats is depressing at the moment: five defeats in a row in the Premier League, without a chance in the 1/8 finals of the Champions League, they lost to PSG (2:5 and 0:3). In the Premier League standings, the Londoners are in eighth place, one point behind the European Cup seven. The only bright moment lately has been the 7-0 victory over Port Vale in the quarter–finals of the FA Cup, but it's clearly not worth overestimating that success, given the difference in class.
Disqualifications and injuries
Colville, James, Gittens, Jorgensen and Estevao will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In the last three matches, taking into account all competitions, Chelsea has not scored a single goal.
- In three of the previous five matches, the Aristocrats lost in the first half.
Approximate composition: Sanchez –Gusteau, Chalobah, Fofana, Hato–Caicedo, Lavia–Palmer, Fernandez, Neto–Delap.
Current form
Leeds is clearly spending the season above expectations and betting tips. The peacocks are not only coping with the main task of maintaining their registration in the Premier League, but also have a chance to make it to the FA Cup final. In the Premier League, Daniel Farke's men are on a five-match winless streak, which has already allowed them to break away from the relegation zone by a solid nine points. In the Cup, Leeds passed opponents from the lower leagues before the quarter-finals, and in some ways they were lucky with the net. In the 1/4 finals, the team made its fans worry. In the match against West Ham, they led 2-0 in the score, but allowed the opponent to win back in the end (2:2). Nevertheless, the peacocks performed better in the penalty shootout.
Disqualifications and injuries
Leeds have only Stakh and Gruev on the injured list.
Interesting betting trends
- In seven of the last nine matches, Leeds players have been offside less often than their opponents.
- Leeds' unbeaten streak, taking into account all tournaments, is seven matches.
Approximate composition: Darlow– Justin, Rawdon, Streak–Bogle, Ampadu, Tanaka, Gudmundsson–Aaronson, Okafor–Calvert-Lewin.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
The Total Yellow cardbetis more than 3.5
In 18 of Chelsea's last 27 matches, referees have shown more than three yellow cards.
Betting 1st half: Leeds victory
In three of the last five matches, Chelsea have lost in the opening 45 minutes.
The bet is an accurate score of 0:2
Chelsea have suffered the last five defeats with a "dry" score.
Tip and bets
Chelsea will play their first match today without Rosenor. However, we would not immediately expect a dramatic transformation for the better. The team will be led by MacFarlane, who previously worked as an assistant coach, and it is unlikely that he will bring anything new to the game of the crisis team. Plus, you have to play against an opponent who is having a strong end to the season and is on a seven-match winless streak. Leeds played Chelsea twice in the Premier League this season and did not lose (a win and a draw), and then the Londoners were not in such a deep crisis as they are now. We believe that there is a reassessment of the current capabilities of the blues in the line of bookmakers. Taking into account the odds, it's worth betting that Leeds will make it to the finals from this pair.
Our betting tip is for Leeds to pass by a factor of 2.38
Bet on the total
In many ways, all of Chelsea's recent failures are due to poor attacking play. The Londoners had lost their previous five Premier League matches without scoring a single goal. Daniel Farke's Leeds are very good at adapting to their opponents and are unlikely to concede more than one goal today.
The second bet is Chelsea's individual goal total of less than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.78
Betting on corners
Despite all their many failures, Chelsea's corner scores are not so bad: in 15 of the 20 previous matches, they managed to win by this indicator. Based on this trend, we recommend another bid.
Prediction – Chelsea win on corners with a coefficient of 1.50
