Burnley will play Manchester City in the 34th round of the English Premier League on April 22. The townspeople achieved an important victory over Arsenal in the last round, they came within three points of them. A victory today will allow the wards of Josep Guardiola to catch up with the Gunners in the table. Will the Maroon ones be able to thwart their opponent's plans? We recommend that you review our betting tip and choose reliable bets
Command Analysis
Burnley
Current form
In the last round, Burnley played away against Nottingham Forest, led 1-0 in the score until the 62nd minute, but eventually suffered a crushing defeat 1-4. This setback was the third in a row for the Maroon. In fact, they can only finish the season and prepare for the Championship: with five rounds to go, they are 13 points behind the saving 17th place. The unsuccessful season performed by Scott Parker's wards did not cause any surprise. In terms of composition, the team is noticeably inferior to almost all competitors, the bet on defense did not work at all, given that Burnley conceded 67 goals – absolutely the worst indicator among all participants in the Premier League.
Disqualifications and injuries
Beyer, Cullen, Roberts and Majbri are injured, and Amdouni's return to the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
Burnley have not won in their last 12 home matches (four draws and eight defeats)
In four of the previous five matches, Burnley players fouled more often than their opponents.
Manchester City had perhaps the key match of the whole season in the last round. On their own field, the townspeople played with Arsenal and achieved victory with a score of 2:1. The fight for the Premier League title escalated to the limit after that. Now Josep Guardiola's men are three points behind the Gunners, but they played a match more. Accordingly, if Manchester City wins today, it will catch up with the Londoners on points. There are all prerequisites for victory. The townspeople are approaching the upcoming game on a winning streak of four matches, conceded only one goal during this period, and have consistently beaten the Maroon team in personal meetings since 2018.
Disqualifications and injuries
Guardiola and Diaz are in the infirmary at Manchester City, Rodri is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In five of the last six matches, Manchester City have lost by offside
The townspeople scored three of the four previous victories with a dry score.
It's not worth waiting for any intrigue in the upcoming match. Burnley is already preparing for the Championship games, regularly fails defensively, conceded four goals from Nottingham Forest in just 30 minutes of the second half the day before. Manchester City scored a crucial victory over Arsenal in the previous round, today they can catch up with the Gunners on points, and there will be no problems with motivation. Since 2018, the townspeople have consistently beaten the maroon ones, they scored a crushing 5-1 victory in the first round. We expect that Josep Guardiola's team will defeat the outsider in class today.
Our prediction is that Manchester City will win with an Asian handicap (-2.5) by a factor of 2.12
Manchester City's attack is working like clockwork, with the townspeople having scored at least twice in the previous four matches. Burnley have the worst defense in the Premier League with 67 goals conceded in the passive. In the face-to-face meeting of the first round, six goals were scored. There is a high probability that we will see at least four balls today.
The second bet is a total of more than 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.88
Betting on corners
Obviously, Manchester City will play in their usual style today, pin down the opponent at the gate, and will have a total playing advantage. In this scenario, it is worth waiting for a confident victory of the townspeople on the corners.
Prediction – Manchester City win on corners with a handicap (-4.5) with a coefficient of 1.95
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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