LiontipsBrighton - Chelsea: betting tip (cf 3.00) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Towards the end of the season, Brighton gained decent momentum and joined the fight for European Cup places. In the previous seven rounds alone, the Seagulls managed to score 16 points. This breakthrough allowed us to rise to ninth place in the table. Chelsea is only one point behind sixth-placed Chelsea. Accordingly, if the team wins today, let it rise to the coveted sixth place for a day. The competition also includes Brentford and Bournemouth, who have one point more than Brighton.
In the last round, Fabian Hürzeler's team played on the road with Tottenham in crisis. I couldn't score three points. The Spurs took the lead twice, but the Seagulls fought back, and scored their second goal only in the 95th minute (2-2). Prior to this draw, Brighton was on a three-match winning streak in the Premier League.
In many ways, the Seagulls' recent successes are due to the fact that they have managed to stabilize the defensive game. They had conceded only five goals in the previous seven matches. Let's add that Brighton has suffered only three defeats in 16 matches since the beginning of the season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Webster, Zimas and Milner will not play due to injuries, Gomez and Mitoma are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Brighton have scored two goals in five of their last seven Premier League matches.
- In eight of the previous nine matches, Brighton had not lost by fouls.
- There has been no goal exchange in three of the Seagulls' last five matches.
Approximate line–up: Verbruggen – Viffer, Dank, van Hoecke, Kadioglu - Ayari, Gross – Minte, Hinshelwood, De Kuyper – Welbeck.
Current form
Immediately after Maresca's resignation and the appointment of Liam Rosenior as head coach, Chelsea had a surge in results, but it didn't last long. There has been a deep recession, from which the team has not been able to get out. In the Premier League, the Londoners have a series of four defeats in a row, the last time this happened to them back in 1998. They were eliminated from the Champions League at the 1/8 finals stage, they could not resist PSG, losing in two matches (2:5 and 0:3).
In general, for the last seven games, taking into account all tournaments, the Londoners have won only one victory. We managed to defeat the modest Port Vale with a score of 7:0 in the quarter-finals of the FA Cup. Chelsea's obvious problems are now present in attack. In the Premier League, the aristocrats not only lost in four consecutive matches, but also did not score a single goal.
The match of the previous round at home against Manchester United (0:1) demonstrated that there is no progress in the game for Liam Rosenor's players. They scored only three shots on goal, although they had possession of the ball 59% of the playing time. At the same time, the opponent shot only once on target and that was enough to form a minimal victory. The Londoners have a game ahead against an uncomfortable opponent: the Seagulls were stronger in the previous three face-to-face meetings, and they confidently dealt with Chelsea 3-1 in the first round on the road.
Disqualifications and injuries
Colville, James, Gittens and Jorgensen are injured. The appearance of Estevao, Fernandez and Joao Pedro is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In seven of the previous eight matches, Chelsea had not lost by offside
- Chelsea have not scored a single goal in their previous four Premier League matches.
- In three of the last five matches, the Aristocrats lost in the first half.
Approximate composition: Sanchez – Gusteau, Chaloba, Fofana, Cucurella–Lavia, Caicedo – Neto, Palmer, Garnacho – Delap.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
The bet is an accurate score of 3:1
Brighton have scored three goals apiece in their last two personal meetings.
Bet 1 half: victory of Brighton
In three of the last five matches, Chelsea have lost in the opening 45 minutes.
The Total Yellow cardrateis more than 3.5
In 14 of the last 17 matches of the Aristocrats, such a bet has passed
Chelsea's Corner WinRate
In 10 of the 11 previous matches, Chelsea made more passes from the corner flag than their opponents.
Tip and bets
Obviously, Liam Rosenor is not coping with the obvious gaming crisis his team is in. Chelsea not only lost in four consecutive rounds in the Premier League, but also failed to score a single goal in these meetings. With such an attacking game, it's hard to count on anything today. Not only did Brighton make a solid move, they suffered only one defeat in the previous seven rounds, and even then from Arsenal with a minimum score of 0:1, but the seagulls also stabilized their defensive game at the end of the season. And this is exactly what they lacked for a long time, when they often lost points by missing in the endings. At the moment, Brighton is much more stable than Chelsea, they are playing at home, they won the previous three face-to-face meetings and have a good chance of taking three points.
Our prediction is that Brighton will win with an Asian handicap (0) for a coefficient of 1.81
Bet on the total
Brighton have no problems with performance in their home matches throughout the season, they have already scored 24 goals. Chelsea has failed to hit the opponents' goal in four rounds in a row, clearly the series without goals has dragged on. In six face-to-face meetings in a row, the rivals scored at least three goals between them, which we expect from them today.
The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.67
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
In the previous three face-to-face meetings, Brighton beat Chelsea, and twice with a two-goal difference. Plus, the Seagulls have won in three of the last four rounds in the Premier League, all with a handicap of one or two goals. We expect the hosts to register a victory with an advantage of one or two goals today.
The betting tip is a victory for Brighton with an advantage of one or two goals with a coefficient of 3.00
