On April 19, Aston Villa will face Sunderland in the 33rd round of the Premier League. The Birmingham team reached the semi-finals of the Europa League the day before, will they be able to build on their success in the Premier League match, where they are in the midst of their struggle for a place in the top 5? We recommend that you review our betting tip and choose reliable bets for the upcoming game
Command Analysis
Aston Villa
Current form
Aston Villa gained decent momentum in the Europa League, where they confidently advanced to the semi-finals. There were no serious problems at the stage of the 1/4 finals with Bologna, we managed to win twice, away and at home with a score of 3:1 and 4:0, respectively. Things haven't been going so well in the Premier League lately, with only one win in the previous five rounds. In the last game, the lions lost to Nottingham Forest on the road (1-1). Undoubtedly, today's hopes are linked to the home stadium and the support of the local public: Unai Emery's players scored 32 of the total 55 points in the Premier League. Aston Villa is in fourth place in the table, three points ahead of Liverpool.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kamara will not play due to injury, Martinez, Sancho and Mings are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In five consecutive matches, Aston Villa has not lost in the first half.
In 24 of the last 31 matches, Aston Villa players fouled less often than their opponents.
It seemed that Sunderland had finally given up their chances in the fight for the European Cup six, but the team is not giving up. In the previous two rounds, the Black Cats scored the maximum six points, beating Newcastle (1:2) and Tottenham (1:0) in turn. Currently, Regis Le Brice's team is 11th in the table and only two points behind the top 6. Despite recent successes, Sunderland has not been very convincing away during the season: they have only four wins in 16 matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Bee, Moore, Mandl and Traore are injured and will not play today, Angulo and Ballard are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
Sunderland have not lost by offside in six of their last seven matches.
In four of Sunderland's last five matches, the exact score was 1-0.
Approximate line–up: Rufs – Mukiele, O'nayen, Alderete, Mandava – Sadiki, Jaka – Rigg, Diarra, Le Fe - Brobbi.
In our opinion, the home field factor will be the key factor in the upcoming match. Aston Villa traditionally plays powerfully at home, it seems that Birmingham's game slump is behind them, as evidenced by two matches without defeats in the Premier League and two confident victories over Bologna in the Europa League. Plus, Unai Emery's men have a chance to finish in third place, and it's important to win today in order to match Manchester United's points. Sunderland is extremely motivated, as it claims to be in the top six of the European Cup, but the team has not been stable during the season, and it is unlikely that today it will be possible to score at least one point only due to reliable defense.
Our betting tip is for Aston Villa to win by a factor of 1.80
Sunderland are very likely to habitually rely on defense, which is not so easy for any opponent to overcome. In the previous six matches with the Black Cats, more than two goals were scored only once. The bet on the total is less likely in the upcoming game.
The second bet is a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.86
Betting on corners
In matches involving Aston Villa, you can regularly see a decent number of corners. So, in seven of the ten previous Birmingham matches, at least 11 corners were recorded, which we are waiting for today.
The betting tip is a total of more than 10.5 corners with a coefficient of 2.25
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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