In the round of 32 of the English Premier League on April 11, Burnley will host Brighton. The Seagulls scored a decent run towards the end of the season, won four of the last five matches and are rightfully the favorite in the bookmaker line today. What reliable bets can I place in the upcoming match? - it will tell you our betting tip
Command Analysis
Burnley
Current form
Even before the start of the season, Burnley was among the obvious contenders for relegation and failed to question this status. In round 31, the Maroon team managed to score only 20 points, with which they are in the penultimate place in the relegation zone. It is unlikely to win back the handicap of 12 points from West Ham from the saving 17th place. Scott Parker's team won their last victory on February 11 over Crystal Palace (2:3). Since then, Burnley have scored only two points in five games played. In the last round, a 1-3 defeat against Fulham was recorded on the road.
Disqualifications and injuries
Amdouni, Beyer, Cullen and Roberts are injured. Laurent is disqualified, and Medjbri and Trezor's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In five consecutive matches, Burnley has not won in the first half.
In six of the eight previous Maroon matches, more than two offsides were not recorded.
Brighton has noticeably improved towards the end of the season and clearly still has hopes of competing for European cups. The Seagulls are in tenth place, five points behind the top 6. Potentially, if they continue to steadily gain points, they can enter this coveted top six. In the meantime, we note that Fabian Hürzeler's team scored 12 points in the last five rounds, and the only misfire in this segment occurred in the match against Arsenal on their own field (0:1). In the last round, Brighton beat Liverpool at home (2-1).
Disqualifications and injuries
Webster and Zimas will miss the game due to injuries, and Dank has too many yellow cards.
Interesting betting trends
In four of the previous five matches, Brighton had not lost in the opening 45 minutes.
There has been no goal exchange in three of the Seagulls' last five games.
Brighton scored 12 points and won four times in the previous five rounds. The seagulls have the prospect of competing for European cups, they cannot slow down, especially since they will have to play against an outsider today. Burnley is noticeably inferior to the Seagulls both in terms of composition and level of play. The Maroon team's reliance on reliable defense does not work, and they create almost nothing in attack, often using the mistakes of their opponents in a trivial way. We believe that Fabian Hurzeler's team will score three points today.
Our betting tip is that Brighton will win by a factor of 1.75
In the previous five rounds, Brighton scored four wins. It should be noted that the seagulls now have no problems with creating and implementing chances, it is no coincidence that they scored three out of four victories, scoring two goals each. We do not think that Burnley's defense will be able to cope with the pressure of an opponent in excellent shape.
The second bet is that Brighton's individual goal total is over 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.73
A bet on yellow cards
Brighton does not hesitate to foul to achieve a positive result. In four of the previous five matches, Brighton players received more yellow cards than their opponents. Accordingly, we suggest considering another option for betting.
The prediction is a victory for Brighton on yellow cards with a coefficient of 2.45
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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