In the round of 32 of the English Premier League on April 11, neighbors in the standings Brentford and Everton will fight for victory. The game is important for the rivals, as both qualify for the European Cup. We understand the betting tip based on analysis and trends, who has the best chance of winning today
Command Analysis
Brentford
Current form
Brentford had barely reached the coveted top six when it immediately slowed down. In the previous five rounds, the Bees won only one victory, and even that was narrowly defeated by Burnley with a score of 4:3. In the last three rounds, the Londoners played to a draw, and their calendar was not the most difficult during this period: Bournemouth, Wolverhampton, Leeds. There was a great chance to enter the top five, as all competitors were losing points. As a result, we see Brentford on the seventh line, lagging behind Chelsea in sixth place by two points.
Disqualifications and injuries
In the Brentford infirmary, Milambo, Dasilva, Carvalho, Henry. Hickey and Janelt are in question.
Interesting betting trends
In seven of Brentford's last ten Premier League matches, no more than two goals have been scored.
The Bees have not won in their last four matches in the Premier League.
Approximate line-up: Kelleher – Kayode, Van den Berg, Collins, Lewis-Potter – Jarmolyuk, Henderson – Ouattara, Damsgaard, Schade – Tiago.
Everton
Current form
Everton, unlike their opponents, are having a solid run of the season, winning three of the four rounds and catching up with Brentford in terms of points. Toffees are inferior to their upcoming opponent only in additional indicators, a victory today will allow them to climb to a clean seventh place. In previous rounds, David Moyes' team had a difficult calendar. Arsenal failed to take away points on the road – 0 defeat:2. But at home we managed to confidently beat Chelsea 3-0. It should be noted that Everton has improved a lot in playing in foreign arenas, having suffered only two defeats in the previous ten away matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Grealish and Alcaraz will not play due to injuries, and Ndiaye is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
Everton have not lost in 8 of their last 11 Premier League matches.
On the road, the Toffees have only two losses in 10 previous matches.
The approximate line–up: Pickford - O'Brian, Keen, Tarkovsky, Mikolenko – Garner, Gaye – McNeil, Dewsbury Hall, George Betu.
There are neighbors in the standings, contenders for European Cup places, and rivals in many respects comparable in class. Brentford have the home field factor on their side, but it's worth noting that the Bees failed to win their previous four matches at their stadium. Everton has been comfortable and confident away from home throughout the season, as they prefer to play number two and are able to keep their advantage well. In the last ten away matches, the Toffees have suffered only two defeats, against Chelsea and Arsenal. We believe that David Moyes' players can get at least a draw today.
Our betting tip is that Everton will not lose by a factor of 1.72
Everton will play number two as usual, trying to block all approaches to their penalty area. It is far from certain that Brentford, in their current far from optimal playing conditions, will be able to open the reliable defense of Liverpool at least twice.
The second bet is Brentford's individual goal total of less than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.75
A bet on yellow cards
Everton is a pretty rough team. In four of the six previous matches involving the Toffees, the referees showed at least four yellow cards. Accordingly, given the importance of the upcoming game, we recommend another option for betting.
The betting tip is that the total number of yellow cards is more than 3.5 with a coefficient of 1.95
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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