LiontipsAzamat Murzakanov - Paulo Costa: betting tip (kef 1.40) and bets on the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Azamat Murzakanov still demonstrates an incredibly effective technique in the UFC. He looks like a fighter who doesn't just win — he neatly shuts down opponents from the system. Six wins in a row, and almost all ahead of schedule, is no longer an accident, but a style. The only exception was the judges' decision victory over Dustin Jacobi, where he had to work at a distance and show patience. In the last fight, he knocked out Alexander Rakic with a jab, a moment that the fans discussed for a long time: everything was done so simply and at the same time in cold blood.
Other defeated opponents include Brandson Ribeiro and Alonzo Menifield. Murzakanov is consistently in the top 6 of his division, and this is despite the fact that his style is not yet widely read by everyone. A four-time world champion in hand-to-hand combat, an honored master of sports, he has come a long way through Brave CF, ProFC and other organizations. Since 2010, as a professional, this is no longer a new school, it is an experience that has been tempered over the years. The 36-year-old fighter has 16 wins: 12 by knockout, 3 by decision, 1 by submission and no defeats. Numbers that sound almost defiant in such a competition.
Current form
Paulo Costa is returning to the light heavyweight division for this fight, and that alone adds to the intrigue. The Brazilian has always been a fighter of emotion and pressure, but in recent years his career has been zigzagging. The last fight was a unanimous decision victory over Roman Kopylov, where Costa looked collected and disciplined, without the usual lapses in concentration. But before that, there was a difficult period: since 2020, there have been six fights, and only two wins with four defeats.
At the same time, the opposition was elite: Sean Strickland, Robert Whittaker, Israel Adesanya — all these names tested Costa to the maximum. The fight with Adesanya was generally a title fight, and this is an important milestone in his career, even despite the result. In 2016, he defended the title of the Brazilian Jungle Fight promotion for the second time and received a ticket to the UFC, where he immediately declared himself a power hurricane. In total, Costa has 15 wins: 11 by knockout, 3 by decision, 1 by submission and 4 defeats. And the main question before this fight is which Costa will enter the cage: the one who breaks opponents with pressure, or the one who gets lost under oncoming fire.
Trends
Bet The duel won't be complete
The two fighters have 25 knockout wins.
Tip and bets
This fight feels like a moment of truth, first of all for Murzakanov. Yes, he goes undefeated, yes, he looks like a machine, but rivals like Costa always raise the degree to the limit. The main issue here is pace and endurance. Costa has power and aggression, but his defense against punches leaves many questions: he misses an average of 6.2 significant punches per minute and defends against only 49% of attacks. In the light heavyweight division, such numbers sound especially dangerous. Murzakanov works cleanly and economically. He doesn't throw up, he waits for the moment, and then hits so that the fight ends before the opponent has time to rebuild. And if Costa does not add discipline to the defense, then the scenario here can be quite tough for him — with a quick reset of the initiative. But Murzakanov is capable of becoming another fighter who will stop the Brazilian ahead of schedule.
Our betting tip is Murzakanov's victory in 1.40
