LiontipsNapoli - Milan: betting tip (cf 3.30) and bets on the Serie A match
Command Analysis
Current form
For a long time, Napoli experienced significant losses in the squad due to numerous injuries. Now the situation has stabilized somewhat, and the results have improved. In Serie A, the Neapolitans won four rounds in a row and came close to Milan in second place, which is only one point behind. Accordingly, a victory today will allow the hosts to climb to the second line. However, it will not be easy to compete for the Scudetto, as on the eve of the start of the 31st round, the gap from Inter is seven points.
On the eve of the international break, Napoli played with Cagliari on the road and achieved victory with a minimum score of 1:0. In the second minute of that meeting, they managed to score, after which Antonio Conte's players held the advantage without any problems, and did not allow their opponent to shoot a single goal during the entire match. In general, this is a typical picture for a team that strives to achieve success through a pragmatic game where results come first.
This season, Napoli has already left all tournaments, it remains only to fight for high places in Serie A. Recall, the Neapolitans sensationally failed to reach even the 1/16 finals in the Champions League, taking only 30th place at the overall stage. In the Italian Cup, Antonio Conte's men lost to Como in the quarterfinals.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rahmani, Nares, Di Lorenzo, Lukaku and Vergara will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- Napoli have 10 wins in 14 home matches since the start of the season in Serie A.
- In seven of the eight previous games of the Neapolitans in the championship, there was a bet on both scoring
- In five consecutive matches, Napoli has not lost by offside
Approximate line-up: Milinkovic–Savic - Beckema, Buongiorno, Olivera – Politano, Lobotka, Zambo-Anguissa, Spinazzola – De Bruyne, McTominay – Hoylund.
Current form
Milan is not losing hope of winning the Scudetto this season. Thanks in large part to Inter's misfires, they managed to get within six points of the lead after 30 rounds. Undoubtedly, the victory of the derby over the Nerazzurri with a minimum score of 1 was also important.:0. In general, throughout the season Massimiliano Allegri demonstrates his ability to achieve success in matches against top rivals. So, in the ten previous rounds, the Rossoneri did not suffer a single defeat against the representatives of the top 6.
Despite the successes in important battles, Milan has obvious problems in confrontations with opponents who rely strictly on defense and act as the second number on the field. It's hard to score goals in such meetings, it's not possible to make quick attacks. In the previous five rounds alone, there were two defeats with the same score 0:1 against Parma and Lazio. In many ways, such failures prevent Milan from fighting for first place at a distance.
Like the upcoming opponent, Milan is now fully focused on Serie A. Allegri's team was eliminated from the Italian Cup at the 1/8 finals stage, losing 0:1 to Lazio.
Disqualifications and injuries
Milan has only Gabbia in the infirmary.
Interesting betting trends
- In 9 of the last 11 matches, Milan's players fouled less often than their opponents
- No more than three goals have been scored in 9 of Milan's last 10 matches in Serie A.
- Milan has not left the field without scoring a goal in 11 of the last 12 away games in Serie A.
Approximate line–up: Menjan – Tomori, De Winter, Pavlovic - Salemakers, Fofana, Modric, Rabiot, Bartesaghi – Pulisic, Nkunku.
Trends
The bet is an exact score of 0:1
Milan have scored two of their last six wins with this score.
1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
The bet has been played in the last five matches of Napoli
The bet is the victory of "Napoli" on the corners
In five of the last six matches, the Neapolitans have not lost on corners.
The Total Yellow Cardrateis less than 3.5
In 19 of the last 29 matches against Napoli, no more than three yellow cards were shown.
Tip and bets
Napoli is approaching the upcoming game on a four-match winning streak, playing at home and deservedly gaining the status of the favorite in the bookmaker's line. Milan is not stable during the season, there have been more than once losses of points with rivals from the bottom of the table when they failed to prove themselves against a saturated defense. At the same time, the Rossoneri are more than successful in holding matches against top opponents. Just two rounds ago, Allegri's team defeated Inter in the principle derby. We believe that Milan will have no less chance of winning today than Napoli. Taking into account the coefficients set, we recommend a betting tip for the guests.
Our betting tip is that Milan will win with an Asian handicap (0) for a coefficient of 2.14
Bet on the total
It's not worth waiting for high performance and an abundance of goals scored today. First of all, we are facing a game between direct competitors for the second place, in such a meeting the price of every mistake is too high. Secondly, both Napoli and Milan adhere to a pragmatic manner, strictly rely on the result, and are very good at playing number two, especially when they have to maintain their advantage. We're talking about the fact that the total bet will be lower in the match.
The second bet is a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.63
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
We are facing a game of neighbors in the standings, there is no need to talk about a serious difference in class. It is hardly worth waiting for a crushing victory, especially given the pragmatic manner of the game. We expect that Milan will be able to win in a difficult battle with an advantage of one or two goals.
The betting tip is Milan's victory with an advantage of one or two goals with a coefficient of 3.30
