LiontipsSouthampton vs Arsenal: betting tip (cf 1.98) and bets on the FA Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
Southampton could not prove themselves in the Championship for a long time, they were at the bottom of the table. However, the Saints have improved a lot over the course of the season, they scored 26 points in the last ten rounds and are already in seventh place, they have a chance to compete in the playoffs for promotion. Taking into account all the tournaments, Tonda Eckert's team has not lost in 14 matches in a row. In the FA Cup, at the 1/8 finals stage, Southampton knocked out the Premier League representative Fulham from the tournament, and managed to win away with a minimum score of 1-0, defending almost the entire match.
Disqualifications and injuries
Roerslev and Wellington are injured, Downs and Matsuki will not play due to too many yellow cards. McCarthy, Robinson, and Sienza are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In four of the last five matches, Southampton have not lost in the first half.
- In four consecutive matches, the Saints have not won by fouls.
Approximate composition: Pepper–Brie, Stevens, Harwood-Bellis, Manning–Charles–Archer, Yander, Azaz, Edozi – Larin.
Current form
Arsenal were defeated in the League Cup final by Manchester City (0:2) on the eve of the international break. Nevertheless, the Gunners claim three more titles. In the Champions League, the Londoners confidently reached the 1/8 finals of Bayer Leverkusen and will play against Sporting in the quarterfinals. In the Premier League, Mikel Arteta's men are confidently leading the standings, nine points ahead of Manchester City, although the rival has a game in reserve. In the FA Cup, Arsenal is playing on an easy tournament grid, there has not been a single representative of the Premier League in the competition yet. In the class, the Londoners took turns beating Portsmouth (4:1), Wigan (4:0) and Mansfield Town (2:1).
Disqualifications and injuries
Merino will not play due to injury. Gabriel, Eze, Inkapier, Madueke, Edegor, Rice, Saka, Saliba, Timber, Trossard and Subimendi are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In 14 of Arsenal's last 16 matches in the FA Cup, no more than three goals have been scored.
- In seven of the ten previous cup games involving Arsenal, at least one of the opponents did not score goals.
Approximate composition: Arrizabalaga – White, Salmon, Mosquera, Calafiori – Nergor– Doman, Havertz, Jesus, Martinelli – Diekeres.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
The bet is Southampton's victory on yellow cards
In 10 of the last 12 matches, Arsenal players have received fewer yellow cards than their opponents.
1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In the last five Arsenal matches, no more than one goal has been scored in the opening 45 minutes.
The bet is an exact score of 0:1
Arsenal have won three of their last five victories with a one-goal advantage.
Tip and bets
Arsenal have their first Champions League quarterfinal match against Sporting ahead, which is clearly at stake. Many players have returned from their national teams with injuries, it is unlikely that the Gunners will play today with an optimal squad under such circumstances. Southampton is having a successful stretch of the season, has not lost in 14 consecutive matches, and was knocked out of the tournament by Fulham at the previous stage in the Cup. There is no doubt that the hosts will make every effort today to play with dignity against the Premier League leader. Perhaps Arsenal will achieve victory in the class, but it is unlikely with a difference of more than one goal.
Our betting tip is for Southampton to win with an Asian handicap (+1.5) by a factor of 1.98
Bet on the total
In the 1/8 finals, Southampton defeated Fulham defensively, playing almost the entire match at their own goal. Obviously, the hosts will try to play Arsenal in a similar way today. In this scenario, you should not expect an abundance of goals scored.
The second bet is a total of less than three goals with a coefficient of 1.92
Betting on corners
We expect Arsenal to have a tangible territorial advantage, spend a lot of time at other people's gates and win by a solid margin on the corners. Moreover, Southampton have been inferior to their rivals in this indicator in four of the last five matches.
Prediction – Arsenal win on corners with a handicap (-2.5) with a coefficient of 1.87
