Michael Chiesa - Nico Price: betting tip (kef 1.45) and bets on the fight

Command Analysis

Current form
Michael Chiesa is a name that has long been synonymous with resilience and skill for UFC fans. In recent years, he has scored three impressive victories in a row over Court McGee, Max Griffin and Tony Ferguson, the latter ending with a spectacular painful technique that reminded fans of the good old days. Chiesa's career has been littered with injuries, but before them he fought with the best: Carlos Condit, Rafael dos Anjos, Bene'il Dariusz, Jim Miller — all these names are on his victory page. Michael won The Ultimate Fighter back in the days when the show really meant something to the fans. This fight will be Chiesa's farewell in his hometown, and expectations are high.
He was supposed to meet with Carlson Harris, but he refused, and at the last moment Nico Price came on as a substitute. Price, we recall, was knocked out by Nikolai Veretennikov only a month and a half ago. Seriously? Who had even suggested that he fight Kyoza so quickly? The 38-year-old veteran Price has 25 wins, 2 of them by knockout, 9 by decision and 14 by submission, as well as seven defeats. But numbers are numbers, and the reality of the fight can be much tougher.

Current form
To be honest, I have doubts about the Price. Since 2020, he has won only two fights and lost seven. Recent performances clearly do not inspire confidence: February 2026 — a knockout from Nikola Veretennikov in the first round; before that, a submission from Jacob Smith in the second and a decision by the judges against Tembe Gorimbo. Standing up and on the ground, he looks vulnerable. Price, who is 36 years old, has 16 wins — 10 by knockout, 3 by decision and 3 by submission, as well as 10 defeats. Price is clearly on a short leash, and even if Chiesa doesn't try to knock him out in a standing position, the difference in training level and freshness is obvious.
Trends
Bet The duel will be complete
The two fighters have 12 wins on points.
Tip and bets
We expect Chiesa to control the fight using her fighting skills on the ground floor. The price tag leaves a lot of holes in the takedown defense — only 50% successful defense. But don't expect an instant painful reception: Chiesa is not a monster who breaks opponents in seconds. Rather, we will see a confident, strategic victory — either on points or by submission towards the end of the match. This fight is a chance for Chiesa to beautifully close the page in his native Seattle and remind everyone why he is one of the most dangerous welterweight fighters in the UFC.
Our betting tip is a total of more than 1.5 rounds in 1.45
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