LiontipsTiafoe - Zverev: prediction (cf 1.89) and bets on the ATP Indian Wells match
Command Analysis
Tiafoe confidently made it to the fourth round on the home courts of Indian Wells, defeating Flavio Cobolli, thereby taking revenge for the recent defeat in the final in Acapulco. The 28-year-old American left no chance for the Italian, giving him only three games in the entire match (6-1, 6-2). Recall that in the second round, Francis just as easily dealt with his compatriot Jenson Brooksby.
Zverev won a three-set match in the third round of Indian Wells against Brandon Nakashima. The 28-year-old German representative won a tense first set in a tiebreak, lost in the second game, but showed enviable composure in the decisive segment of the match (7-6, 5-7, 6-4). Earlier, Alexander confidently beat Matteo Berrettini in the tournament bracket.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
In 4 of Zverev's last 5 matches, events developed according to this scenario
2.31The 1st setbetis a total of less than 9.5 games
In 3 of Zverev's last 5 matches, less than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
2.20The Totalbetis more than 22.5 games
In 3 of Zverev's last 5 matches, more than 22.5 games were played.
1.83Tip and bets
Zverev knows perfectly well how to beat Tiafoe. In the face-to-face confrontation with the American, he leads with a score of 8-1. Moreover, Alexander has won the last six matches against Francis. Of course, Tiafoe is in good shape right now – he didn't notice either Jenson Brooksby or Flavio Cobolli at the start of the Masters. However, we think that it is unlikely that he will succeed in opposing Zverev in the upcoming game, given such a vivid contrast of personal meetings.
Our betting tip is that Zverev will win with a handicap of (-3) games for a coefficient of 1.89
