For the fifth time this season, Newcastle and Manchester City will play each other. So far, the townspeople are leading 3-1, they have won the League Cup twice and scored one victory in the Premier League. On March 7, the rivals will meet in the 1/8 finals of the FA Cup. Should we expect another victory performed by Josep Guardiola's players and which reliable bets should we choose? - you can find out about this from our betting tip
Command Analysis
Newcastle United
Current form
Throughout the season, Newcastle has been trying to fight to the maximum in all the tournaments where it participates, but it is obvious that there are not enough resources. They reached the semi-finals in the League Cup, but lost to Manchester City without a chance with a total score of 1:5 in the sum of two matches. There is no question of any stability in the Premier League: 39 points scored after 29 rounds and an intermediate 12th place. In the last round, the magpies showed character, played with Manchester United, remained ten at the end of the first half with the score 0:0. However, this did not prevent them from winning 2-1. So far, Eddie Howe's wards have been most successful in the Champions League, where they confidently passed Qarabag in the 1/16 finals. In the FA Cup at the previous stage, Newcastle beat Aston Villa 3-1 on the road.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kraft, Cher and Bruno are injured, Livramento, Miley, Voltemade and Tonali are in doubt. Ramsey will serve his suspension.
Interesting betting trends
In five consecutive matches involving Newcastle in the FA Cup, an exchange of goals was recorded.
In three of the last four matches, Newcastle players fouled more often than their opponents.
Approximate line–up: Ramsdale - Trippier, Botman, Byrne, A. Murphy – J. Murphy, Joellinton, Willock – Elanga, Osula, Barnes.
Manchester City
Current form
Manchester City has posted an impressive four-match winning streak in the Premier League, moving closer to Arsenal in the table. However, in the last round, the citizens sensationally lost points with Nottingham Forest (2:2) on their own field. Now the gap from the Gunners is seven points when playing in the reserve. Nevertheless, Josep Guardiola's team currently has a 10-game unbeaten streak, taking into account all tournaments, and they still claim titles in all tournaments where they participate. In the FA Cup, at the stage of the 1/16 finals, Manchester City beat Salford City 2-0 in the class.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kovacic and Guardiola are injured. Alleyn and O'Reilly are in question.
Interesting betting trends
Manchester City have 18 wins in their last 20 matches in the FA Cup.
In seven of the eight previous cup games, the townspeople scored at least two goals.
The tournament fate brings the rivals together for the fifth time this season. The townspeople were three times stronger, and the Magpies scored their only victory back in October. Obviously, Manchester City has improved over the course of the season, Guardiola has repeatedly demonstrated that he knows how to bring his players to their peak form closer to the end, and the team has the resources for this. Newcastle, on the other hand, is clearly experiencing difficulties at a distance, playing constantly on a busy schedule. The forty have a very decent list of injured players, and they had a battle with Manchester United, where they had to play ten of them for a whole half. We don't think that against this background, Newcastle will be able to play Manchester City on equal terms today.
Our betting tip is for Manchester City to win by a factor of 2.10
Will the prediction win?
TipManchester City's IT goals are more than 1.5
In the last three face-to-face meetings, Manchester City scored at least two goals against Newcastle without any problems. This is not to say that the Magpies' defense is reliable at the moment, having conceded less than two goals only once in the previous four games. This pair suggests a bet on the individual total of guests.
The second bet is that Manchester City's individual goal total is over 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.75
Betting on corners
Manchester City, regardless of the opponent, tries to play number one, has a lot of time on the ball. It is no coincidence that in the last 34 matches, the townspeople have lost only four times in terms of the number of corners. Accordingly, we recommend another bet on the game.
Prediction – Manchester City win on corners with a coefficient of 1.58
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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