LiontipsAston Villa - Chelsea: betting tip (cf 3.10) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Aston Villa is clearly not up to the competition in the fight for the top three in the Premier League. He has only one victory in the previous five rounds. It is characteristic that they managed to win on their own field, beating the Brothers (1-0). The Birmingham team went to Villa Park during the season, where they scored 29 points in 14 matches played.
Due to recent failures, the lions were already in fourth place in the standings. Manchester United is ahead in additional indicators, and Liverpool is three points behind on the eve of the start of the 29th round. In the last two matches, Unai Emery's team had far from the most formidable opponents, but they failed to win. They parted ways with Leeds (1:1) on their own field and lost to the main outsider of the Premier League, Wolverhampton, with a score of 0:2. Aston Villa had obvious problems in attack: for five rounds in a row, they failed to score more than one goal.
It should be noted that Aston Villa's recent failures were even taking into account the fact that the team did not play in the Europa League, it was possible to focus only on the Premier League. Let us remind you that in LE Birmingham, they took second place at the general stage and immediately advanced to the 1/8 finals, where they will face off against Lille in two matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kamara, McGinn, Thielemans and Elliott are injured and will not play today.
Interesting betting trends
- In the last eight matches with Aston Villa in the Premier League, more than two goals have not been scored.
- Aston Villa have not scored more than one goal in five consecutive rounds in the Premier League.
- Birmingham have not won in the first half in four consecutive matches.
Approximate composition: Martinez – Cash, Consa, Mings, Matsen – Onana, Douglas Luis – Sancho, Rogers, Buendfa – Watkins.
Current form
Immediately after Liam Rosenor was appointed head coach, Chelsea had an impressive successful streak, winning four games in a row in the Premier League. However, it was not possible to keep such a high pace at a distance. For three rounds in a row, the Londoners have not been able to win and moved six points away from the coveted top four on the eve of the start of the 29th round.
It is impossible not to mention the emerging problems with discipline: in the last two matches, players were removed. In the last round in the London derby, Chelsea lost 1-2 to Arsenal. Before that, there were draws with rivals from the bottom of the table: Leeds (2:2) and Burnley (1:1). Of the positive moments during this period, it is worth noting only the confident 4-0 victory over Hull in the 1/16 FA Cup final. The Blues' away performance in the last stretch of the Premier League season is not the most outstanding: two wins in the previous five matches, both of them over far from the strongest opponents, Crystal Palace and Wolverhampton with the same score 3:1.
Chelsea has a busy schedule ahead of them, as they will face PSG in the 1/8 finals of the Champions League. As a reminder, the aristocrats finished in sixth place at the general stage and received a direct ticket to the 1/8 finals.
Disqualifications and injuries
Estevao, Colville and Gittens are injured and will not play today. Neto will serve his suspension, and Essugo and Cucurella are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In six consecutive matches with Chelsea in the Premier League, there has been a bet on both goals.
- Chelsea scored at least two goals in five of the previous seven Premier League games.
- In five consecutive matches, the Aristocrats have not lost in the first half.
Approximate composition: Sanchez – James, Fofana, Chalobah, Gusteau–Caicedo, Santos–Palmer, Fernandez, Garnacho – Joao Pedro.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
Aston Villa has scored the last two wins in personal meetings with this score
9.60Bet 1 half: Chelsea will not lose
In the previous five matches, the Londoners did not concede to their rivals in the opening 45 minutes.
1.34Chelsea's Corner WinRate
In six consecutive matches, Chelsea have taken more corners than their opponents.
2.30The Total Yellow cardbetis more than 3.5
The bet played in 10 of Chelsea's 12 previous matches
1.40Tip and bets
It is not easy to give preference to anyone in this pair in terms of outcome, there is also no obvious favorite in the line of bookmakers. Still, we think Aston Villa will have a better chance of success. For the Birmingham team, the home field is traditionally an important factor; they have suffered only three defeats at Villa Park since the beginning of the season and scored nine wins. Plus, the Lions also had two previous face-to-face meetings, including Unai Emery's team winning 2-0 on the road in the first round.:1. Chelsea has serious discipline problems, and there have been deletions in the last two matches. Visiting Londoners rarely enjoy success, only rivals from the bottom of the table managed to win. We believe that Aston Villa will be closer to scoring three points today.
Our prediction is that Aston Villa will win with an Asian handicap (0) by a factor of 1.96
Bet on the total
The competitors are extremely motivated to stop their failures, and the fight for the top 4 is in full swing. No one will be particularly satisfied with a draw today, and Aston Villa and Chelsea are unlikely to play strictly from defense. Over the course of five face-to-face meetings in a row, at least three goals were invariably scored. We are waiting for a productive game this time.
The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.68
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
There is no noticeable difference in class between the rivals, so you can expect a crushing victory. Aston Villa were stronger in the last two face-to-face meetings, and with the same score of 2:1. There is a high probability that today the victory of Birmingham will be with an advantage of one or two goals.
The betting tip is for Aston Villa to win by one or two goals with a coefficient of 3.10
