Edgar Chares - Felipe Boones: betting tip (kef 1.78) and bets on the fight

UFC Fight Night 268. arena-cdmx
Edgar ChairezMexico
Felipe BunesBrazil
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Edgar Chairez - Felipe Bunes
Fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightest weight category Edgar Chayres will face Felipe Bunesom. The fight will take place on March 1 as part of the UFC tournament in Mexico City (Mexico). Will the owner of the octagon be able to succeed in the fight with the Brazilian and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Edgar Chairez

Current form

Chayres is a fighter who knows how to return effectively. He's been out of the cage for almost a year, and in his last fight, he strangled CJ Vergara in the first round, earning a bonus for the Best Performance of the evening. And he did it in Mexico City — the audience was roaring then, as if the World Cup final had begun. It was a difficult story before that. Losing by decision to Joshua Wang was a hard—fought fight where every round hung on a thin thread. And Tatsuru Tahir made his UFC debut, which was also a loss on points. It's not the easiest calendar to start a career, you'll agree.

Chares' stats in the promotion are 2-2 and one fight without a result. The numbers aren't flashy, but the context is important. He lands 3.44 significant hits per minute, missing 5.08. Yes, the protection is not perfect. But if you remember that in one of the fights he clashed with the future champion of the division, who literally bombarded him with 118 blows, it becomes clear where such a bias comes from. In the last performance, Chaires looked different — collected, aggressive, predatory. Knockdown, instant transition to the stalls, painful — clearly and without fuss. If he repeats this pace, it will be very difficult for Boones.

 

Felipe Bunes

Current form

Boones' trajectory is like a roller coaster. In August 2025, he lost by decision to the undefeated Rafael Estevam. Before that, he effectively caught Jose Johnson in a painful reception. And his UFC debut ended with a knockout from the same Joshua Wang — a tough encounter with reality. The Brazilian is 36 years old. Technically— it's experience, but actually it's age. He looks cheerful, but he doesn't feel as confident in his stance as he would like. The difference in his striking technique is also negative, and this is a wake-up call before leaving for Mexico. He has 14 wins to his credit: two by knockout, three by decision, and the rest by wrestling. Nine defeats is a figure that indicates instability. And if the fight drags into a trade, the advantage is likely to be on the side of Chaires.

Trends

Ставка Поединок не будет полным

У бойцов на двоих 21 досрочная победа

1.42
1.42

Tip and bets

TipDosrocnaa pobeda Cajresa
1.78

Есть ощущение, что этот бой не услышит финальный гонг. Бунес уже оказывался под серьезным давлением в стойке, а Чайрес сейчас на эмоциональном подъеме и дерется дома. Он может выиграть и ударами, и сабмишеном — а может, как в прошлый раз, совместить оба сценария в один красивый эпизод. Когда мексиканец ловит ритм, он работает широко и дерзко. А Бунес не тот боец, который комфортно живет под прессингом.

Наш прогноз — досрочная победа Чайреса 1.78

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips4
% of profit-0.26%
Win percentage25.00%
Average coefficient1.44
Wins25.00%  (1)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses75.00%  (3)
Total tips22
% of profit-0.23%
Win percentage50.00%
Average coefficient1.74
Wins50.00%  (11)
Refunds4.55%  (1)
Loses45.45%  (10)