Brandon Moreno - Lonier Kavanagh: betting tip (kef 1.45) and bets on the fight

UFC Fight Night 268. arena-cdmx
Brandon MorenoMexico
Lone'er KavanaghGreat Britain
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Brandon Moreno - Lone'er Kavanagh
Brandon Moreno, a fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightest weight category, will face Lonir Kavanagh in the main match of the evening. The fight will take place on March 1 as part of the UFC tournament in Mexico City (Mexico). Will the owner of the octagon be able to succeed in the fight with the Englishman and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Brandon Moreno

Current form

Moreno had a short break between fights. At the end of 2025, he lost to Tatsuro Taira by technical knockout. The stop caused controversy, and Moreno himself was openly displeased. And indeed, he didn't look broken, but he was stuck in a sticky struggle, like a car on wet grass: there was momentum, there was no movement. Prior to that, the Mexican had consistently passed Steve Erceg and Amir Albazi by referees' decisions. Earlier, there were dramatic defeats by split decision from Brandon Royval and Alexander Pantokhi — it was in that fight that he lost the UFC light heavyweight title. The 32-year-old Latin American has 23 wins (five by knockout, seven by decision, 11 by submission) and 10 defeats. The main thing is that he was already a champion. And this is not just a line in the statistics, it is a different level of understanding of pressure and pace.

Lone'er Kavanagh

Current form

Kavanaugh suffered his first career defeat in August 2025, when Charles Johnson scored a technical knockout. It was a painful but revealing evening for the 26-year-old Briton. Before that, he walked without misfires and looked fresh and daring. He has been competing in the UFC since 2024, the balance is two wins and one loss. He defeated Felipe dos Santos and Jose Ochoa, and previously played for Cage Warriors for a long time. His record is eight wins (three by knockout, five by decision) and one loss. Kavanagh is a neat, agile, and technical fighter. But for now, there are no big wars behind our backs. And Mexico City is not the best place to learn to breathe under fire.

Trends

Bet The duel will be complete

The two fighters have 12 wins on points.

1.90
1.90

Tip and bets

TipMoreno's victory
1.45

The Englishman is a new figure in the division, and the public always likes new things. But experience is a stubborn thing. Moreno lives for the main fights. He breathes them. In Mexico City, he will not just be a participant, but the master of the stage. He's only six years older, but he feels like he's got a dozen fights ahead of him. And he's physically bigger for that weight, whereas Kavanagh looks compact even by the standards of the lightest category.

Our prediction is that Moreno will win in 1.45

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Betting predictions stat

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Total tips0
% of profit0%
Win percentage0.00%
Average coefficient0
Wins0.00%  (0)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses0.00%  (0)
Total tips16
% of profit-0.18%
Win percentage50.00%
Average coefficient1.83
Wins50.00%  (8)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses50.00%  (8)