LiontipsAston Villa vs Leeds: betting tip (cf 1.85) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Aston Villa could not win in two consecutive rounds in the Premier League, but in the last game they scored an important three points in the home match against Brighton (1-0). Thanks to this, Birmingham hold the third place in the table, have a five-point gap from Manchester United and are three points away from Manchester City. Unai Emery's team has a habit of playing powerfully on their own field, where they have scored 28 points in 13 matches since the beginning of the season. Last week, the Lions completed their FA Cup run by losing to Newcastle with a score of 1:3. In that meeting, Birmingham led 1-0, but at the end of the first half they were left with ten and eventually lost.
Disqualifications and injuries
Juri Thielemans, John McGinn, Boubacar Kamara are out due to injuries. Goalkeeper Marco Bizot will miss the match due to suspension.
Interesting betting trends
- Aston Villa have not scored more than two goals in their previous six Premier League games.
- In five of Birmingham's last six Premier League matches, at least one of the opponents did not score goals.
The approximate line–up: Emiliano Martinez – Ezri Konsa, Lamar Bogarde, Ian Matsen, Tyrone Mings - Emiliano Buendfa, Douglas Luis, Jaydon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Amadou Onana – Ollie Watkins.
Current form
Leeds occupies a modest 15th place in the table, but regularly takes points from rivals from the leading group. So, in the last round, the peacocks drew 2-2 with Chelsea on the road. In fact, they've only had one setback in the last five rounds, when they suffered a crushing 0-4 defeat at Arsenal. Leeds is confidently coping with the main task of maintaining its registration in the Premier League, pulling away from the relegation zone by six points. Daniel Farke's men made it to the 1/8 finals of the FA Cup last week, beating Birmingham on the road in a penalty shootout.
Disqualifications and injuries
The appearance of Pascal Strake, Anton Shtakh and Noah Okafor on the field is questionable today.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches, Leeds have not lost in the first half.
- Leeds have suffered only two defeats in their last 13 Premier League matches.
Approximate composition: Carl Darlow as Joe Rodon, James Justin, Jaka Biyol as Sebastian Bornauw, Ilya Gruev, Jayden Bogle, Gabriel Gudmundsson as Ethan Ampadu, Brenden Aaronson as Lukas Nmecha.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In five consecutive matches with Aston Villa, no more than one goal was scored in the first half.
1.52The Total Yellow Cardrateis less than 3.5
Stavka has played in 9 of Aston Villa's last 12 matches
1.55The exact score is 1:0
Aston Villa have scored two of their last four wins with this score
13.00Tip and bets
Leeds is impressive with its results, having suffered only two defeats in the Premier League in the last 13 matches. At the same time, it is often not without a bit of luck, as was the case with Chelsea, and the failure with Arsenal on the road is alarming. Aston Villa is traditionally strong on its own field, and it does not lose hope of catching up with Manchester City in the fight for second place. Birmingham have a clear implementation, even when the game is not going well, as it was in the previous round with Brighton, they still squeeze out the maximum. We expect the lions to score three points today in a difficult fight.
Our betting tip is for Aston Villa to win by a factor of 1.85
Bet on the total
In the previous six matches with Aston Villa in the Premier League, no more than two goals were scored. The Birmingham team knows how to play to hold the score, and they do not seek to develop their advantage at any cost. Leeds is unlikely to risk playing open football with a superior opponent on the road.
The second bet is a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.95
Betting on corners
Aston Villa will obviously play from a position of strength on their own field, and they will spend a lot of time at other people's gates. There is a high probability that Birmingham will take more corners than the opponent. Moreover, in the last four matches Leeds did not win by corners.
Prediction – Aston Villa win on corners with a coefficient of 1.51
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