Aston Villa will play Newcastle in one of the matches of the 1/16 FA Cup final on February 14. The rivals played each other less than a month ago in the Premier League, then Birmingham won on the road. Will the lions be able to beat the magpies again today? - the answer is in our betting tip. What bets should I pay attention to in the upcoming cup game?
Command Analysis
Aston Villa
Current form
Aston Villa won a difficult 1-0 home victory over Brighton in the Premier League the day before, thus ending a short run of two matches without a win. The Burmese are firmly in third place in the standings, five points ahead of Manchester United. At the same time, the chances of second place are still not lost, as the gap from Manchester City is only three points. It is not the first year that Unai Emery's players have been achieving great success at Villa Park, where they have 12 wins in 16 matches since the beginning of the season. In the FA Cup, at the 1/32 finals stage, the lions defeated Tottenham 2-1 away.
Disqualifications and injuries
Camara, McGinn, Garcia and Thielemans are in the infirmary at Aston Villa.
Interesting betting trends
In three of the previous five matches involving Aston Villa, there was no goal exchange.
In 10 of the last 11 matches, Aston Villa players were offside less often than their opponents.
Newcastle went on a five-match winless streak, taking into account all tournaments in which they suffered four defeats. The Magpies interrupted a series of failures in the last round of the Premier League, beating Tottenham 2-1 on the road. Thus, they dismissed the head coach of the Spurs, Thomas Frank. However, based on this victory, it is clearly too early to say that the recession is over. It is noticeable that the team cannot withstand the busy schedule of games. In the Premier League, Eddie Howe's team occupies a modest tenth place with 36 points in the asset, and the gap from the top 4 is nine points. In the FA Cup, in the 1/32 finals, Newcastle defeated Bournemouth only in a penalty shootout.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kraft, Cher, Livramento and Joellinton will not play due to injuries, Miley is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In five consecutive matches with Newcastle, an exchange of goals was recorded.
In 13 of the previous 16 matches, Newcastle lost by fouls.
The approximate line-up: Ramsdale – Trippier, Tschau, Botman, Hall – Bruno, Tonali, Ramsey – Murphy, Wissa, Barnes.
Aston Villa and Newcastle played each other in the Premier League on January 25, and then Birmingham won on a foreign field. The Magpies haven't exactly improved since then, they've only won once over Tottenham, they're constantly conceding at least three goals, and the defense doesn't inspire any confidence. The Lions are having a more stable season as a whole, they are playing on their own field today, where they have won 12 of 16 matches and will have excellent chances to qualify for the 1/8 finals.
Our betting tip is for Aston Villa to pass by a factor of 1.72
Matches involving Newcastle have recently been highly productive, given the Magpies' obvious defensive problems. Aston Villa stands out for its clear implementation on its own field and is able to punish forty for mistakes more than once.
The second bet is Aston Villa's individual goal total of more than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.90
Betting on corners
When choosing a corner bet, we rely on the hosts, who will obviously play number one at home. Plus, in three of the last four matches, Aston Villa have served more from the corner flag than their opponents.
Prediction – Aston Villa win on corners with a handicap (0) with a coefficient of 1.65
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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