On February 11, Aston Villa will play Brighton in one of the matches of the 26th round of the Premier League. Birmingham have not won in the Premier League in two rounds in a row, and the Seagulls cannot win five games in a row at all. From our betting tip, you can find out who is more likely to break their failures today. Which bets should I pay close attention to?
Command Analysis
Aston Villa
Current form
Aston Villa does not seem to be able to withstand the competition in the fight for the second position in the Premier League. In the last two rounds, the Birmingham team failed to win, and the opponents were not the most difficult. First, a 0:1 defeat against Brentford was recorded at home, and then there was an away draw with Bournemouth (1-1). As a result, Unai Emery's men still hold the third place on the eve of the start of the 26th round, but they are already three points behind Manchester City, with Manchester United three points behind. There are clearly problems in the Lions' attack. So, Brentford played the whole second half with ten, but at the same time, Birmingham could not realize any of their many chances, although they scored 27 shots on goal.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kamara, Alison, McGinn, Garcia and Thielemans are injured.
Interesting betting trends
In three of the last five matches, Aston Villa have won in the first half.
Aston Villa have won eight of their previous ten Premier League matches on home turf.
Brighton has seriously slowed down during the season, and we are no longer facing a team that demonstrates vibrant and productive football. The Seagulls can't win in the Premier League for five rounds in a row, and they've never scored more than one goal in that stretch. In the standings, Fabian Hürzeler's team are only in 14th place after 25 rounds and can't claim anything more than a top-10 finish. In the last round, Brighton was defeated by crisis Crystal Palace (0:1).
Disqualifications and injuries
Webster, Viffer, Zimas, March and Ayari are injured, while van Hoecke is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In six of Brighton's last eight Premier League matches, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
No more than two goals were scored in five of the Seagulls' previous six Premier League matches.
Aston Villa failed to win in two matches in a row, but you can't say from the game that it was a complete failure. With the same Brentford, there was a banal implementation at a low level. Brighton has noticeably slowed down in terms of the game lately, absolutely nothing is working in attack, and this is what the seagulls achieved success in the first half of the season. The Lions have won 8 of 12 matches on home turf, beaten Brighton in the previous two face-to-face meetings, and today, in our opinion, they will achieve victory again.
Our prediction is that Aston Villa will win by a factor of 2.00
When choosing a total bet, one cannot ignore the high performance in face-to-face meetings. So, in the previous three personal matches, at least three goals were scored. The rivals are clearly betting today on ending their series of failures and will go forward with great strength.
The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.84
Betting on corners
The bookmakers are clearly overestimating the hosts' capabilities in the corners. In the last ten games in the Premier League, Aston Villa has only completed more than six corners twice. Based on this trend, we recommend another option for betting on the match.
Betting Tip – Aston Villa's total corners are less than 6.5 with a coefficient of 1.53
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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