LiontipsManchester City vs Newcastle: betting tip (cf 3.70) and bets on the English League Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
In the first game of the semi-final in Newcastle, Manchester City created a comfortable two-goal lead (2-0). We managed to score both goals in the second 45 minutes, when it was noticeable that the magpies were well hooked. Now the citizens have a great chance to play in the League Cup final for the first time since the 2020/21 season.
Overall, the current season has been mixed for Josep Guardiola's team. There is no outright failure, which could be seen last season, but it cannot be said that the citizens are ready to take titles in all tournaments where they participate. Too often they allow themselves to lose points out of the blue. So, on the eve of the Premier League, Manchester City lost a two-goal advantage in the game against Tottenham (2:2) on the road. Accordingly, the gap from Arsenal increased to six points. And it's lucky that Aston Villa lost in this round altogether, otherwise the townspeople would have lost their second place.
In the Champions League, Manchester City completed the overall stage with a 2-0 victory over Galatasaray. Thanks to this success, we managed to finish in eighth place and get a ticket to the 1/8 finals immediately. It should be noted that despite the instability, the townspeople are still strong at home, their misfires most often occur on the road. This season, taking into account all Etihad tournaments, 14 wins were recorded in 18 matches played.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kovacic, Stones, Guardiola, Dias, Savinho and Doku are injured, Sherki is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three consecutive matches, Manchester City has won in the first half.
- The townspeople won six home matches in a row in the League Cup.
- In seven of the previous eight matches, Manchester City lost by offside
Approximate composition: Donnarumma – Nunesh, Husanov, Gekhi, Ait-Nuri – Rhodri – Foden, Silva, Reynders, Semenyo – Holland.
Current form
Newcastle obviously can't handle a busy schedule of games. As soon as it is possible to stabilize the game and the results in one tournament, there should be a decline in another. Right now, you can see the failure in the Premier League, where in the last three rounds we managed to score only one point, and even then we scored with the outsider Wolverhampton (0:0). The matches against Aston Villa (0:2) and Liverpool (1:4) were very significant. Taking into account the recent failures in the Premier League, the Magpies occupy only 11th place after 24 rounds and are already eight points behind the top 4.
At the same time, in the Champions League in the last round, Eddie Howe's team played a decent away match against PSG (1-1). It didn't work out to get into the top 8, but taking into account the failures in the Premier League, 14 points scored and 12th place in the main European club tournament is more than a decent result.
In the League Cup, in the home game against Manchester City, Eddie Howe's team held on in the first half, but still did not have enough strength. It should be noted that during the entire match, the Magpies scored only two shots on target, and they didn't do much in attack. Now, in order to defend last year's title, you will need to win back two goals. At the same time, it was not possible to win at the Etihad, taking into account all tournaments since 2014.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kraft, Cher, Lascelles, Livramento and Joellinton are injured. Bruno is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Newcastle have only suffered one loss in their previous 14 League Cup games.
- In eight of the last nine League Cup matches, Newcastle have scored at least two goals.
- In 11 of the previous 13 matches, the Magpies fouled less often than their opponents.
The approximate line-up: Pope – Trippier, Tschau, Bern, Hall – Willock, Tonali, Ramsey – Murphy, Wissa, Gordon.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
The bet is an accurate score of 3:1
Manchester City have scored three of their last six personal wins on home turf with a two-goal advantage.
12.501st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
This bet played out in three of the five previous face-to-face meetings
1.59Manchester City's Corner WinRate
In the previous 14 face-to-face matches, the "townspeople" won on corners.
1.55The totalrateof Manchester City yellow cards is less than 1.5
The bet was successful in seven of the last nine face-to-face meetings at the Gorozhan field
1.86Tip and bets
This is not to say that Manchester City is having a flawless season, you can see some slumps in the game and results, but most often it concerns away matches. At home, the townspeople have won 14 out of 18 matches since the beginning of the season, taking into account all tournaments, and they are unlikely to plan to play on hold today. Newcastle, even on their own field in the first semi-final game, showed very little in attack, hitting only two shots on target. It is clear that the Magpies will try to play bolder attacking football today, but at the same time Manchester City will have more free space than the players can fully use. For 11 matches, the Magpies have consistently lost at the Etihad, taking into account all tournaments, and we do not see any serious prerequisites for this series to be interrupted today.
Our betting tip is that Manchester City will win by a factor of 1.84
Bet on the total
It makes no sense for Newcastle to play defensively, at some point they will have to open up, as they need to win back two goals. Manchester City are used to playing from a position of strength on their own field, there are no problems in attack, in the previous three home matches the citizens scored at least two goals. We believe that there is a high probability of a successful game.
The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.70
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
Manchester City have won seven of their last nine home matches, including all competitions. It should be noted that in three cases the townspeople won with a two-goal advantage, which we expect from them today.
Prediction – Manchester City will win with a two-goal advantage with a coefficient of 3.70
