LiontipsArsenal vs Chelsea: betting tip (cf 4.90) and bets on the English League Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
Arsenal is betting on achieving maximum results in all the tournaments they participate in this season. So far, everything is going according to plan, it helps that the squad was significantly strengthened in the summer, now injuries to several players are not a serious problem.
In the Champions League, the Gunners played flawlessly in the overall stage, scored the maximum 24 points in eight rounds and finished in first place. In the last meeting, the Londoners beat Kairat on their own field (3:2). Mikel Arteta's team did not have any problems starting in the FA Cup: they defeated Portsmouth 4-1 in the class. In the Premier League, Arsenal confidently holds the first place after 24 rounds, coming off by six points from Manchester City. There was a small unsuccessful series of three matches without a win, which the Londoners interrupted in excellent style the day before, beating Leeds 4-0 on the road.
Arsenal have not reached the final in the last seven League Cup draws. So, last season we failed to pass Newcastle at the semi-final stage. This time, there are excellent chances to break an unsuccessful streak. In the first game against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge, they managed to win 3-2, and the victory was for the cause, the Gunners created more dangerous chances, struck six shots on target, three of which were accurate.
Disqualifications and injuries
Domen and Merino will not play due to injuries, Saka is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last four matches Arsenal have won in the first half.
- In five of the previous six matches, Arsenal players fouled more often than their opponents.
- No more than two goals have been scored in five of the Gunners' last six League Cup matches.
Approximate line–up: Raya – Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori - Edegor, Subimendi, Rice – Madueke, Jesus, Trossard.
Current form
The change of coach has clearly had a positive effect. Under Rosenor's leadership in the Premier League, Chelsea managed to register three consecutive victories over Brentford (2:0), Crystal Palace (3:1) and West Ham (3:2). Of course, the calendar is not the most difficult, but it is worth paying attention to the excellent performance: eight goals in three games, there are no problems with the implementation. In the Premier League standings, the Londoners are in fifth place, just one point behind Manchester United from fourth place.
Liam Rosenor is also doing great in the Champions League, as evidenced by two wins in the final rounds at home over Paphos (1-0) and away over Napoli with a score of 3:2. As a result, we managed to finish in sixth place at the league stage and thus get a ticket to the 1/8 finals.
Chelsea have had a solid history of playing in the English League Cup in recent years. So, in the four previous seasons, the aristocrats reached the finals twice, although in both cases they lost to Liverpool. This time it will be difficult to make it to the finals, given that in the first game we lost at home to Arsenal with a score of 2:3. Note that Garnacho scored both goals in that meeting in the second half, his second goal in the end leaves hope for the continuation of the fight, but today, under any circumstances, only victory is needed.
Disqualifications and injuries
Colville, Lavia, Adarabioyo and Essugo are injured. Gittens' entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three consecutive matches involving Chelsea, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
- In three of the previous five matches, Chelsea had not won in the first half.
- On the road in the League Cup, the aristocrats won three matches in a row.
Approximate composition: Sanchez – Gusteau, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella –Caicedo, Fernandez –Neto, Palmer, Garnacho – Joao Pedro.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
The bet is an accurate score of 3:1
Arsenal have scored three goals apiece in three of their last six wins.
12.501st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
This bet played out in the six previous face-to-face meetings
1.51Arsenal's Corner WinRate
In the previous five matches, the Gunners won on corners.
1.50Chelsea's Total Yellow Cardrateis less than 2.5
The bet was successful in 9 of the last 12 face-to-face meetings on the Arsenal pitch
1.83Tip and bets
Under Rosenor's leadership, Chelsea had a solid winning streak of five matches, noticeably increased in attack, scoring 12 goals during this period. It is unlikely that the aristocrats will give up hope of winning back the one-ball handicap today, they are capable of scoring their own goal. At the same time, it cannot be said that Chelsea is playing flawlessly in defense now, as evidenced by the missed goals in the last three meetings. Arsenal on their field in the derby obviously will not play for a draw, keep the advantage they have gained, and the opponent will have to open up, even if not immediately. The Gunners know how to make good use of their chances, but they are no longer so reliable in defense during the season, especially in matches against top rivals, they missed both Inter and Manchester United, and more than once. We believe that there is a high probability of an exchange of goals scored in the upcoming match, as was the case in three of the four previous face-to-face meetings.
Our betting tip is that both will score for a coefficient of 1.72
Betting on the outcome
Arsenal is in a winning position today, given the away advantage they have gained. In any case, the aristocrats will have to open up, take risks, and go forward with great strength. With such a game, the Gunners will have a better chance of winning. Of course, we also remember that Chelsea had not won a single match in the previous ten face-to-face matches, taking into account all tournaments, and in seven cases they suffered defeats.
The second bet is Arsenal's victory with an Asian handicap (-1) with a coefficient of 2.14
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
In seven of the last ten face-to-face confrontations, Arsenal have achieved victories, and in four cases they were not limited to a one-goal advantage. We are waiting for an open game and a victory for the Gunners with a two-goal difference.
Prediction – Arsenal win with a two-goal advantage with a coefficient of 4.90
