Umar Nurmagomedov - Daveson Figueredo: betting tip (kef 1.50) and bets on the fight

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Umar NurmagomedovRussian Federation

Deiveson FigueiredoBrazil

Dmitriy Budanov

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The fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightest weight category, Umar Nurmagomedov, will fight against Daveson Figueredo. The fight will take place on January 25 at the UFC tournament in Las Vegas (USA). Will the Russian be able to succeed in a fight with a fighter from Brazil and what bets should he choose? - read in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Umar Nurmagomedov

Current form

Umar Nurmagomedov lost his zero more than a year ago, losing by unanimous decision to the then champion Merab Dvalishvili. Before that, Khabib's cousin was undefeated in the professionals, defeating Corey Sandhagen, Bekzat Almakhanov and Raoni Barcelos. After losing to Dvalishvili, Umar confidently rehabilitated himself by defeating Mario Bautista in October 2025. Now that Dvalishvili no longer has a belt, Nurmagomedov looks like a clear favorite and may become Peter Yan's next opponent.

The 30-year-old Russian has 19 wins — two by knockout, ten by decision, seven by submission — and one defeat. He is a former champion of Gorilla Fighting and Battle on Volga. Umar's style is dominant: control on the ground, the ability to impose his struggle, patience and precision.

Deiveson Figueiredo

Current form

Daveson Figueredo lost to Peter Yan in November 2024, but he looked decent, especially in the rack. Then he lost to Corey Sandhagen due to a knee injury partially caused by his opponent. After that, the Brazilian defeated Montel Jackson by split decision, although one judge gave the victory to Jackson. Figueredo is an extremely strong and persistent fighter, his success is based on the ability to transfer opponents to the stalls in time and win contentious moments in the stand.

The 38-year-old Brazilian has 25 wins — nine by knockout, seven by decision, nine by submission — and five defeats. He is a former UFC champion, but it will be extremely difficult for him to take a takedown or keep the Russian on the ground against Nurmagomedov.

Tip and bets

TipTotal more than 2.5 rounds

1.50

Nurmagomedov surpasses almost everyone in the division in wrestling, except Merab Dvalishvili and, possibly, Peter Yan. Figueiredo's age won't cause him any problems on earth. We expect constant transfers to the stalls, control, positional pressure, and so on over and over again. Figueredo remains a tough fighter who can beat many, but Umar is an extremely uncomfortable opponent for him. Nurmagomedov's dominant style allows him to control the fight, but he still lacks the killer instinct to finish, and Figueredo is too tough to lose ahead of schedule.

Our betting tip is to win a total of more than 2.5 rounds in 1.50

Will the prediction win?