LiontipsJustin Gaitji - Paddy Pimblett: (January 25, 2026): statistics, personal meetings, and bookmaker odds
Command Analysis
Current form
Justin Gaitji is a different story in the UFC. We haven't seen him for a long time, and in March 2025, he returned to confidently dismantle Rafael Fiziev, entering the fight in a short time instead of Dan Hooker. This fight was the first since Max Holloway's epic knockout at UFC 300. The victory over Fiziev improved Gaitji's record to 9-5 in the UFC. He is now 37 years old, with 26 wins — 20 by knockout, five by decision and one submission — and five defeats. Justin has always been a daredevil who could create a spectacle, but times have changed.
Current form
Paddy Pimblett is a fresh breeze in the lightweight division. He recently turned 31, and he is still undefeated in the UFC — 7-0. The Englishman showed a spectacular combination of speed, strength and technique in recent fights: he defeated Michael Chandler, quickly strangled King Green and dominated Tony Ferguson on points. Before that, it was controversial, according to many, that Jared Gordon had won. Pimblett has 23 wins in his career — six by knockout, six by decision, eleven by submission, and three defeats. His style combines a stance with sudden pain, and this makes him an unpredictable opponent for any veteran.
Trends
Bet The duel won't be complete
The two fighters have 38 early wins on points.
1.29Tip and bets
If you look at the coefficients, everything is logical. The audience in Vegas, the analysts, and I leaned toward Pimblett. I want to support Gaitji, but the reality is harsh — he is no longer someone who could just smash an opponent standing up. The UFC used to carefully select fights for him to watch, but now interest in him has decreased. The best Gaitji could have crushed Pimblett in a stance without thinking about anything else, but now a younger, longer and stronger Pimblett will keep the fight on his feet, gradually transferring the opponent into a fight with attempts at painful techniques. Age, accumulated damage, almost a year's downtime, and Gaitji's past injuries are playing against him. Nevertheless, sports loves surprises.
Our betting tip is a total of less than 2.5 rounds in 2.12
