LiontipsSt. Pauli - Hamburg: betting tip (cf 3.10) and bets on the Bundesliga match
Command Analysis
Current form
Before the winter break, St. Pauli had a decent upturn in play and results, and in December they even managed to produce a three-match winless streak in the Bundesliga. Plus, in the German Cup, the Pirates beat Borussia Monchengladbach in the 1/8 finals and made it to the quarterfinals. However, the break clearly did not benefit the team, rather, on the contrary, it prevented it.
After the break, St. Pauli played two away matches in the Bundesliga, in which they suffered defeats from Wolfsburg (1:2) and Borussia Dortmund (2:3). Everything was very good in the game, we managed to score three goals, created a sufficient number of dangerous moments. Another thing is that we missed at the end of these matches and lost points.
The Pirates are in last place in the standings, but overall the situation is far from hopeless. Alexander Blessin's team has 12 points, the same number as Mainz, which is one line higher, and the saving 15th place is three points away. It should be noted that St. Pauli has scored only two victories on its field since the beginning of the season, but both of them were over rivals from the bottom of the table, Augsburg and Heidenheim.
Disqualifications and injuries
Spary, Nemeth, Metcalf and Untongi are injured, Irvine and Sinani are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In 12 of the last 15 Bundesliga home matches, St. Pauli has not scored more than one goal.
- For the last 11 matches on his field in the Bundesliga, St. Pauli missed
- In 8 of the 12 previous matches involving St. Pauli, at least four offsides were recorded.
Approximate line–up: Vasil Dzigala, Val, Mets – Pyrka, Smith, Sands, Ritsuka – Fujita, Pereira Laj – Kars.
Current form
Hamburg is successfully coping with the main task of maintaining its registration in the Bundesliga for the season, although it has not yet guaranteed anything for itself. The black-white-blue team has 17 points, the intermediate 14th place in the table, and the gap from the direct relegation zone is five points.
After the break, Merlin Polcin's team played two matches. On the road, there was a 1-2 defeat against Freiburg, where we had to play with ten players from the 51st minute and where the opponent scored a very controversial goal. Then there was the home game against Borussia Monchengladbach, when it all ended in a goalless draw. In that meeting, Hamburg had a huge advantage, scored 12 shots on target, but the implementation was at a low level.
In general, Hamburg is having a decent season, but almost all the successes are related to home performances. The black, white, and blue scored 15 of the 17 points on their own field. Two away goals since the beginning of the Bundesliga season is absolutely the worst indicator among all teams.
Disqualifications and injuries
Poulsen is in the infirmary near Hamburg. Omari, Sumaoro, Lokonga and Sahiti are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Hamburg has not won a single game in the last nine away matches in the Bundesliga.
- In seven of the last nine Bundesliga matches involving Hamburg, both teams scored goals.
- Hamburg players fouled more often than their opponents in six of the last seven matches.
Approximate line–up: Hoyer Fernandes – Capaldo, Vushkovic, Torunariga – Jatta, Vieira, Remberg, Muheim - Koenigsderffer, Downs, Dompe.
Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
Hamburg have suffered two of their last five away defeats with this score
10.501st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
The bet was successful in three of the previous five derbies.
1.33Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In three of the last five face-to-face meetings, goals have been scored in each of the halves.
1.73The St. Pauli Victorybetwith a handicap (+1.5) on yellow cards
In 9 of the last 10 matches of the hosts, such a bet was played
1.43Hamburg's Corner Winrate
In six of the previous eight matches, St. Pauli lost on corners.
2.85Tip and bets
It is not easy to determine the favorite in the Hamburg derby, it is no coincidence that there are almost equal quotes in the line of bookmakers. At the same time, we still believe that the hosts have a better chance of three points. Taking into account all the tournaments, St. Pauli did not lose to its main rival in five previous face-to-face meetings, and in four cases it achieved victories. Hamburg has been playing poorly away all season, scored only two points and has not won yet. Of course, we also remember that St. Pauli is fighting for survival, coming in last place, every point is worth its weight in gold now. The Pirates have only two home wins in the Bundesliga since the beginning of the season, but both were over rivals from the bottom of the table, clearly Alexander Blessin knows how to set his players up for such key battles.
Our prediction is that St. Pauli will win with an Asian handicap (0) for a coefficient of 1.84
Bet on the total
In the derby, no one plans to play strictly on the defensive, especially from a tournament point of view, the match is important for the representatives of Hamburg. St. Pauli played two matches after the break, in which they exchanged goals with rivals, it is unlikely that this series will be interrupted today, especially considering that Hamburg plays bold attacking football and is not afraid to go forward with great strength.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.93
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
There is no noticeable difference in class between the rivals, so that it would be possible to calculate a crushing victory in the betting tips. St. Pauli scored two Bundesliga wins this season with a one-goal advantage, and most likely they will be able to win in a similar style today.
The betting tip is a victory for St. Pauli with an advantage of one or two goals with a coefficient of 3.10
