LiontipsChelsea vs Arsenal: betting tip (cf 4.00) and bets on the English League Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
Chelsea noticeably slowed down during the season, which led to the resignation of Enzo Mareschi. In the last 12 matches, taking into account all tournaments, the aristocrats have won only three times. With such indicators, it is difficult to count on serious success. Liam Rosenor, who successfully worked with the French Strusbur, was called upon to correct the situation. Under the leadership of the new coach, they managed to arrange a crushing 5-1 victory over Charlton in the FA Cup. Of course, this success should not be overestimated, given the difference in class between the rivals.
In the Premier League, taking into account recent failures, Chelsea ranks only eighth. At the same time, the gap from the top 4 is only four points, and all is far from lost. In the last round, the Aristocrats played Fulham. From the 22nd minute, the Blues played with ten and eventually lost with a score of 1:2. As a result, the winless streak reached the five-match mark.
So far, the most successful for Chelsea is the League Cup. Here, under the guidance of Enzo Mareschi, they managed to make it to the semifinals. The aristocrats have won over Lincoln (3:1), Wolverhampton (4:3) and Cardiff (3:1). As you can see, the tournament grid was very light, and reaching the semifinals was not a big surprise.
Disqualifications and injuries
Colville and Lavia are injured, and Caicedo will serve his suspension.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches, Chelsea have not won in the first half.
- Chelsea players fouled less often than their opponents in three of the previous four matches.
- Chelsea have not lost in their last 10 League Cup matches.
Approximate composition: Sanchez – Gusteau, Chaloba, Adarabioyo, Cucurella– Santos, Fernandez–Estevao, Palmer, Neto Delap.
Current form
Arsenal are betting on winning trophies in all the tournaments they participate in this season, and so far they are doing a good job of this task. The main thing is to avoid prolonged downturns. There is a depth to the squad, and injuries to individual players do not lead to a global gaming crisis.
In the League Cup, the Gunners advanced to the semifinals in a difficult tournament bracket. Just at the start, they had a light warm-up with Port Vale (2-0). Then there were confrontations with representatives of the Premier League. At the 1/8 finals stage, it turned out to confidently defeat Brighton with a score of 2:0. The most difficult battle was against Crystal Palace in the quarterfinals. The opponent then equalized the score in the 95th minute (1-1), only in the penalty shootout they managed to break the Eagles' resistance. It should be noted that a year ago, Mikel Arteta's team left the English League Cup in the semi-finals, losing to Newcastle in two matches with the same score 0:2.
Three days ago, Arsenal got off to a solid start in the FA Cup, beating Portsmouth 4-0 on the road.:1. In the Premier League, the Gunners lead the standings with 49 points in round 21. The gap between Manchester City and Aston Villa is a comfortable six points. Last round was a difficult match against Liverpool (0-0). Despite the tangible game advantage, Mikel Arteta's team failed to score in that meeting. It should be noted that at the moment, taking into account all tournaments, Arsenal has a winless streak of nine matches, in which they managed to win seven times at the end of regular time.
Disqualifications and injuries
Arsenal's injured list includes Mosquera, Domen, Calafiori and Inkapier. Saliba and Trossard are in question.
Interesting betting trends
- Arsenal have only one defeat in their last 12 away matches in the League Cup.
- In three of the four previous matches involving Arsenal, a draw was recorded in the first half.
- In eight of the Gunners' last nine away matches in the League Cup, at least one team did not score goals.
Approximate line–up: Raya - White, Timber, Gabriel, Lewis–Skelly -Edegor, Subimendi, Rice – Saka, Diekeres, Martinelli.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
Chelsea's Corner WinRate
In three of the last four matches, Chelsea have taken more corners than their opponents.
2.351st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In five previous face-to-face meetings, such a bet has passed
1.44The exact score is 1:2
Chelsea have suffered the last two defeats with this score
8.70Bet Goals in both halves – yes
The bet has played in three of the last five face-to-face meetings
1.64The Total Yellow cardrateis more than 3.5
At least four yellow cards have been shown in six of Arsenal's last eight matches.
1.47Tip and bets
Chelsea is approaching the match in far from optimal shape, with a new coach. At the same time, despite all their problems and unsuccessful results, the aristocrats in the previous nine games did not leave the field without scoring a goal, the presence of individually strong players in the squad who are able to single-handedly create and realize their moment affects. It is unlikely that the Blues will be without their goal at Stamford Bridge today. Moreover, Arsenal has significantly reduced their defensive reliability over the course of the season, and they have played only once in the previous six matches. However, in their current form, the Gunners are noticeably superior to their upcoming opponent and are capable of scoring goals more than once. We believe that the bet on the exchange of goals scored will be the most optimal, especially considering that in two of the last three face-to-face matches, both opponents scored goals.
Our betting tip is that both will score for a coefficient of 1.72
Betting on the outcome
When choosing a bet on the outcome, it is logical to start from the game and the results that the opponents demonstrate throughout the season and specifically in this segment. Arsenal is much more stable, and the away match factor does not frighten the Gunners at all, as evidenced by a series of four consecutive away wins. After the change of coach, Chelsea clearly still needs time to get the necessary playing conditions.
The second bet is Arsenal's victory with a coefficient of 2.26
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
There is no huge gap in class between the two London clubs to expect a crushing victory. Plus, the semi-finals in the League Cup consist of two matches, it is unlikely that the Gunners will seek to win with a huge advantage at all costs, and Chelsea will not allow themselves to fail at home.
Prediction – Arsenal win with a one-goal advantage with a coefficient of 4.00
