Everton will play Brentford in the 20th round of the Premier League on January 4. Toffees usually achieve the most success in their field, while bees regularly experience difficulties on the road. From our betting tip, we can find out whether the home field factor will play a key role today. Should I bet on the victory of the hosts?
Command Analysis
Everton
Current form
Over the course of the season, Everton scores mostly points in confrontations with rivals comparable in class or with outsiders. So, in the previous six rounds, the Toffees lost only to the London giants, Chelsea (0:2) and Arsenal (0:1), when they failed to demonstrate anything in attack. In the last two matches, David Moyes' team went away with Burnley (0-0) and beat Nottingham Forest with a score of 2.:0. By the upcoming home match, Everton is in ninth place in the table with 28 points in the asset, ahead of today's opponent by one point.
Disqualifications and injuries
Brantwaite and Coleman are injured, Gaye and Ndiaye are in the national team. The entry of Dewsbury Hall, Alcaraz and Keane into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In six consecutive matches with Everton in the Premier League, at least one team did not score goals.
More than two goals have not been scored in eight of Everton's previous ten Premier League matches.
Brentford is approaching the upcoming match on a four-game unbeaten streak in the Premier League. The bees perform poorly on the road for the season, but nevertheless they were able to beat crisis Wolverhampton with a score of 2:0 and parted in peace with Tottenham (0:0). In many ways, the recent successes of Keith Andrews' team are due to their confident defensive play: only two goals conceded in four games. The Londoners are in tenth place in the standings, having scored 27 points in 19 rounds.
Disqualifications and injuries
Out of the game due to injuries to Milambo, Dasilva and Carvalho. Onyeka and Ouattara are involved in the national team.
Interesting betting trends
In three of the last five matches involving Brentford, a draw with an exact score of 0-0 was recorded in the first half.
In five of the last six matches of the Londoners in the Premier League, more than two goals have not been scored.
Approximate line–up: Kelleher – Kayode, Collins, van den Berg, Henry – Janelt, Henderson - Schade, Damsgaard, Lewis–Potter - Igor.
The neighbors in the standings, the strong midlanders of the Premier League, will play against each other. At the same time, Everton and Brentford share the fact that they achieve the greatest success on their own field. This is especially true for the Bees, who have only two wins on the road with seven losses since the beginning of the season. David Moyes' team constantly demonstrates the ability to achieve victories over rivals who do not have an advantage in class, just like the Londoners. We believe that in a difficult fight, Everton will score three points today.
Our betting tip is for Everton to win by a factor of 2.40
In a match of equal opponents, the bet on the total is less. Everton habitually does not take unnecessary risks, and if they gain an advantage, they clearly close. Brentford has noticeably improved in defensive reliability, conceding only two goals in the last four matches. Plus, there had never been more than two goals scored between the two in the previous three face-to-face meetings.
The second bet is a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.70
Betting on corners
Away matches involving Brentford have a decent number of corners. So, in six of the last seven guest games of the bees, at least 10 corners were played. Based on this trend, we recommend another bet on the match.
The betting tip is that the total number of corners is more than 9.5 with a coefficient of 1.68
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
Liontips
