Aston Villa will play Nottingham Forest in the 20th round of the Premier League on January 3. The day before, Birmingham's impressive winning streak of 11 matches was interrupted, and it was not possible to oppose Arsenal. Will the lions be able to start a new series of successful matches today? - the answer is in our betting tip. Which reliable bets should I choose for the game?
Command Analysis
Aston Villa
Current form
Aston Villa was on a streak of 11 wins in all tournaments, but they failed to build on their success in the last round. Birmingham played Arsenal on the road, there were no goals in the first half, and Unai Emery's team completely failed in the second 45 minutes, conceding four goals, and Prestige Watkins scored only in the 94th minute. Nevertheless, the lions are still in third place in the standings, pulling away by a solid six points from Liverpool. It should be noted that Aston Villa is usually powerful on its own field, where it has suffered only one defeat in the Premier League since the beginning of the season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Mings, Barkley and Torres will not play due to injuries, Gessan is in the national team, and Elliott is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In three of Aston Villa's last five matches, a draw was recorded in the first half.
Aston Villa have 12 wins in 14 previous Premier League matches.
After a great 3-0 victory over Tottenham, Sean Dyche's team seriously slowed down and suffered three defeats. The failure with Manchester City (1-2) was quite expected, but the failures with Fulham (0:1) and Everton (0:2) demonstrated weakness in attack against opponents who do not hesitate to defend with great strength and clearly act on the counterattack. In the standings, foresters are in 17th position, the gap from the relegation zone is four points. It should be noted that Nottingham Forest scored only eight points away from the start of the season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Out of the game due to injuries to Ain, Wood, Yates and Ndoye. Pain, Sangare in the national team.
Interesting betting trends
In four of the last five matches, Nottingham Forest had not won in the first half
In seven of the eight previous matches involving the Foresters in the Premier League, at least one team did not score goals.
The approximate line-up: Celce – Williams, Milenkovic, Murillo, Zinchenko – Anderson, Douglas Louis – Hutchinson, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi – Jesus.
Aston Villa's impressive winning streak was interrupted in the last round, but it's hardly worth talking about a decline, especially since Arsenal were in the competition, and they played in London. On their own field, the lions are quite capable of taking three points today, especially considering that they will play against Nottingham Forest, which is currently on the decline. The Foresters have suffered three defeats in a row, are experiencing problems with the realization of chances, and have never been able to hit the gates of Fulham and Everton. We expect Unai Emery's team to take three points and secure third place.
Our betting tip is for Aston Villa to win by a factor of 1.83
The match with Aston Villa regularly turns out to be productive, Unai Emery's wards are far from perfect in defense, but at the same time they are distinguished by their clear implementation. Birmingham have scored more than two goals in seven consecutive matches, and we don't expect this series to be interrupted today.
The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.84
Betting on corners
At the corners, there is a reassessment of the owners' capabilities in the betting shops' line. In total, for the first time in seven previous home matches in the Premier League, the Birmingham team played more than six innings from the corner flag. Accordingly, based on this trend, we recommend another option for a confident bet.
Betting Tip – Aston Villa's total corners are less than 6.5 with a coefficient of 1.62
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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