LiontipsArsenal vs Aston Villa: betting tip (cf 3.70) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Arsenal holds the top spot in the Premier League, but it's obviously not easy. Victories are difficult to come by, and the main pursuers in the person of Manchester City and Aston Villa do not allow themselves to misfire, the gap between the Londoners has been at around two and three points for several rounds, respectively. Winning today will allow you to break away from at least one of the competitors for a while.
In the last round, Mikel Arteta's team played at home against Brighton. Once again, they failed to win back to zero in defense, but the opponent is now far from the peak of his form, the victory of the Londoners with a score of 2:1 turned out to be fully deserved. Before that, they had a difficult match of the 1/4 finals of the League Cup against Crystal Palace (1:1), when they managed to beat the opponent only in a penalty shootout. Arsenal still has the strongest defensive line in the Premier League (11 goals conceded), but in the previous four rounds they conceded four goals, they only scored against Everton when they won away with a minimum score of 1:0. In the same period there was also an away defeat from Aston Villa (1:2).
In many ways, the Gunners' problems have recently been related to the loss of many key players, even a decent depth of the squad does not always help.
Disqualifications and injuries
Arsenal's injured list includes White, Mosquera and Doman. Timber, Havertz, and Calafiori are in question.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches Arsenal have won in the first half.
- Arsenal have won their previous six matches in the Premier League.
- The Gunners have scored at least two goals on home turf in seven of their previous nine Premier League matches.
Approximate line–up: Raya -Inkapye, Saliba, Gabriel, Lewis–Skelly - Edegor, Subimendi, Rice – Saka, Diekeresh, Trossard.
Current form
Aston Villa's winning streak, taking into account all tournaments, has reached 11 matches. It cannot be said that Unai Emery's team dominates in every match, but at the same time they manage to clearly use their chances in attack, we can say that the Birmingham team is making the most of it. Decisive goals in the endings have become their trademark. So, the decisive goal against Arsenal was scored in the 95th minute (2-1), and the victory over Chelsea in the previous round was scored in the 84th minute.
In the Premier League, the Lions have won eight games in a row. It should be noted that the Birmingham team won five previous victories by conceding goals to their own goal. There are plenty of problems in defense, the same West Ham opened their defense twice (2:3). So far, all these shortcomings are compensated by a clear implementation in the attack.
Aston Villa have 39 points and an intermediate third place after 18 rounds. Birmingham City were betting on finishing in the top 4 at the start of the season, and so far they are confidently coping with this task, the gap from Liverpool in fourth is a solid seven points, and from Chelsea in fifth is 10 points. At the same time, there was a chance to compete even for the title, given that they are three points behind the leading Arsenal.
Disqualifications and injuries
Mings, Barkley and Torres will miss the game due to injuries, Gessan is in the national team, and Elliott's return to the field is questionable. Cash and Kamara will serve their suspension.
Interesting betting trends
- In the last five matches of Aston Villa in the Premier League, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
- At least three goals have been scored in Birmingham's previous five Premier League matches.
- Aston Villa have 11 wins in their last 12 Premier League matches.
Approximate composition: Martinez– Bogarde, Lindelof, Konsa, Matsen– Onana, Thielemans–McGinn, Buendfa, Rogers–Watkins.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
Bet 2 half: Aston Villa will score
In the previous six matches, Aston Villa scored in the second 45 minutes.
2.65The bet is an exact score of 1:1
This score was recorded in two of Arsenal's eight previous matches
7.30The Total cornerbetis less than 9.5
In nine of Arsenal's last ten matches, more than nine corners have not been taken.
1.98The Total Yellow cardbetis more than 3.5
Stavka has played in 11 of Aston Villa's last 16 games
1.79Tip and bets
The opponents are approaching the upcoming match with personnel problems, not all the strongest players can involve Mikel Arteta and Unai Emery. Tactical mistakes are inevitable in such situations, and it will not be easy to win back to zero. Aston Villa, even with their impressive winning streak, have not been without conceding goals in the previous six matches, taking into account all tournaments. At the same time, the Birmingham team is famous for their clear implementation of moments and are able to use their chance. Moreover, over the course of the season, Arsenal has somewhat reduced the reliability of its defense, which is now definitely not an impregnable fortress. In a head-to-head match in early December, the Gunners and the Lions exchanged goals, which we are waiting for today. Moreover, bookmakers offer a solid coefficient for this betting option.
Our betting tip is that both will score for a coefficient of 2.04
Betting on the outcome
Among other things, the disqualified Cash and Camara will not play for Aston Villa today. The losses are tangible, but the Birmingham team is distinguished by its well-defined teamwork, and we would not immediately write them off just because of the losses in the squad. Moreover, Arsenal also has personnel problems and victories are not easy for the gunners. We believe that the Lions will have a chance to take at least one point away from London.
The second bet is an Aston Villa victory with an Asian handicap (+1) with a coefficient of 2.00
Combined bid
In their recent face-to-face meeting, Aston Villa clearly demonstrated that they are capable of playing on equal terms with Arsenal. Of course, it will be harder at the Emirates, but given the excellent form of the Birmingham team, it is worth checking the combined bet on their non-loss and the fact that at least two goals will be scored. This was the scenario of the previous six Lions matches.
Betting Tip – Aston Villa will not lose and the total is more than 1.5 goals with a coefficient of 3.70
