LiontipsChelsea vs Aston Villa: betting tip (cf 4.00) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Chelsea went through a difficult period at the beginning of December, when they could not win in four meetings in a row. During this period, however, the aristocrats played a good match against Arsenal (1:1), while it is unlikely that a defeat against Leeds (1:3) and a draw with Bournemouth (0:0) were part of the management's plans.
Nevertheless, it is worth paying tribute to the players and Enzo Maresca, who managed to stop the fall and avoid a serious crisis. Chelsea have scored four points in the last two rounds: a 2-0 home win over Everton and a 2-2 away draw with Newcastle. Between these matches, there was success in the 1/4 finals of the League Cup, when they managed to beat Cardiff 3-1 on aggregate. In the Premier League standings, the aristocrats are in fourth place after 17 rounds, ahead of Liverpool from fifth place in additional indicators. However, it is unlikely to be possible to fight for the championship, since the gap from Arsenal is ten points, but there is still a noticeable lack of stability in the distance.
In the Champions League, in the last round, the Londoners lost on the road with a score of 1:2 to Atalanta. Nevertheless, there are still chances to finish in the top 8. Chelsea is in 13th place and two points behind the top eight.
Disqualifications and injuries
Chelsea has Colville, Lavia and Essugo on the injured list.
Interesting betting trends
- In the last five matches, Chelsea have not lost in the first half.
- Chelsea have not lost at home in the Premier League in 16 of the 18 previous matches.
- In three of the last four matches, Chelsea players fouled more often than their opponents.
Approximate composition: Sanchez – Gusteau, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella – Fernandez, Caicedo – Neto, Palmer, Garnacho – Joao Pedro.
Current form
Aston Villa has an impressive ten-match winning streak, taking into account all tournaments. Few people remember that at the start of the season, Birmingham could not find their game for a long time, they were in the relegation zone in the Premier League, and there was talk of Unai Emery's resignation. After 17 rounds, the lions are in third place, one point behind Manchester City and two points behind the leading Arsenal.
Directly in the Premier League, Birmingham's winning streak lasts seven matches. The last time they lost on November 1 to Liverpool on the road with a score of 0:2. The day before, Unai Emery's team had a difficult test of strength – a home meeting with Manchester United. After the first half, the score was 1-1, and in the second 45 minutes Rodgers scored his second goal and won 2-1. Once again, Aston Villa showed a clear realization of the moments: four shots on target – two goals scored. It is worth noting that the lions are achieving success even taking into account not the most reliable defensive game: they cannot win back to zero during the last five matches.
In the Europa League, Aston Villa is among the top three, with 15 points each after six rounds, and has an excellent chance of getting straight into the 1/8 finals. In the last round, the lions beat Basel 2-1 on the road.
Disqualifications and injuries
Mings, Barkley and Torres will not play due to injuries, Gessan is in the national team, and Elliott's return to the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In 10 of the last 12 matches, Aston Villa players were less likely to be offside than their opponents.
- Aston Villa have 11 wins in their previous 12 Premier League matches.
- In six of Birmingham's seven previous Premier League matches, at least three goals were scored.
Approximate composition: Martinez – Cash, Lindelof, Konsa, Matsen– Onana, Kamara–McGinn, Thielemans, Rogers– Watkins.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
Bet 2 half: Aston Villa will score
In the previous five matches, Aston Villa scored after the break.
1.98The exact score is 1:2
Aston Villa have won three of their last four victories with this score.
13.00Aston Villa's Total cornerbetis more than 3.5
In six of the last seven face-to-face meetings at Chelsea field in the Premier League, Aston Villa has taken more than three corners.
1.57Chelsea'sbetWon't Lose on Yellow Cards
The bet played in five of the six previous matches of the hosts
1.40Tip and bets
Despite all the recent successes of Aston Villa and a ten-match winning streak, bookmakers give Chelsea a significant advantage in their quotes. This is largely due to the home field factor and the fact that the Londoners are also in good playing condition right now, heading for a win-win series of three meetings. Nevertheless, it's definitely not worth passing by the peak Aston Villa. The Lions achieve success through clear execution of moments, while the Londoners often give a lot of space to their opponents at their gates and are generally unstable. It should also be noted that in the previous eight face-to-face games, Birmingham had lost only twice. We believe that the guests from London are able to take away at least one point today.
Our betting tip is that Aston Villa will not lose by a factor of 1.97
Bet on the total
Even with all their recent successes, Aston Villa is not a standard of reliability in defense, having conceded in the previous five matches. At the same time, Birmingham are making the most of their chances and are unlikely to remain without scoring goals at Stamford Bridge. We think there is a high probability of an exchange of goals scored in the upcoming meeting.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.64
Combined bid
In terms of the level of play at the moment, Aston Villa is hardly inferior to Chelsea in any way and is capable of at least a draw. At the same time, we expect high results from the upcoming meeting, given the way the Birmingham team plays and the fact that they regularly miss.
The betting tip is that Aston Villa will not lose and the total is more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 4.00
