LiontipsArsenal vs Crystal Palace: betting tip (cf 2.90) and bets on the English League Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
The last time Arsenal won the English League Cup trophy was back in 2018. Since that time, it has not been possible to get beyond the semifinals. This season, the Gunners have a good chance of winning the tournament, given the excellent level of play and results. On the way to the quarterfinals, Mikel Arteta's team played two matches against rivals of different levels, Port Vale and Brighton. We managed to win these matches with the same score 2:0.
In the Premier League, Arsenal have allowed themselves to lose points three times in the last seven rounds, and there was also a 1-2 defeat to Aston Villa. The competitors took advantage of this slight decline, with Manchester City two points behind after 17 rounds and Aston Villa three points behind. However, a serious crisis was still avoided. In the previous two matches, there were away wins over Wolverhampton (2-1) and Everton (1-0). Separately, we note that the Gunners won seven out of eight matches on their own field in the Premier League, losing points only with Manchester City (1:1).
Arsenal's performance in the Champions League is impeccable. In the six rounds played, they managed to score a maximum of 18 points, with which Mikel Arteta's players lead the standings with a three-point margin over their closest pursuer, Bayern.
Disqualifications and injuries
Gabriel, Havertz, Mosquera and Doman are in the Arsenal infirmary. White's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches Arsenal have won in the first half.
- Arsenal scored three of the previous four wins with a dry score.
- On the way to the quarterfinals of the League Cup, the Gunners did not concede a single goal.
Approximate composition: Arrisabalaga – Timber, Saliba, Inkapye, Lewis-Skelly – Nvaneri, Nergor, Merino – Saka, Diekeresh, Eze.
Current form
Crystal Palace have failed to win in their last three matches. It seems that, after all, the Eagles cannot withstand the busy schedule of games, which turned out to be too stressful and unusual for a modest team by the standards of the composition. The series of failures began with a home defeat in the Premier League from Manchester City (0:3), then there was a home draw in the Conference League with KuPS (2:2), and on the eve of the Premier League away Glaziers lost 1-4 to Leeds. The defense began to give serious failures, and many successes were achieved largely due to the reliability of the defense line.
In the Premier League, after two consecutive defeats, Crystal Palace is already in eighth place, three points behind the top 4. In the Conference League, Oliver Glasner's team failed to finish in the top eight, which they relied on, took tenth place and will play in the 1/16 finals in the playoffs.
Crystal Palace had two rounds in the English League Cup, and the scenarios of the confrontations were ambiguous. At first, it was only in the penalty shootout that Millwall managed to overcome the resistance, and then they confidently dealt with Liverpool 3-0 on the road. The quarterfinals with Arsenal are ahead. Interestingly, a year ago in this tournament, the rivals played each other just at the stage of the 1/4 finals, then the Gunners won with a score of 3:2.
Disqualifications and injuries
Doucure, Kporha, Riad, Munoz and Kamada are injured, Sarr has been called up to the national team.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches, Crystal Palace have not won in the first half.
- Crystal Palace players fouled more often than their opponents in four of the previous five matches.
- Crystal Palace had won by offside in four previous matches.
Approximate composition: Benitez – Gehey, Richards, Lacroix – Cline, Wharton, Hughes, Sosa– Devenny, Pinot–Mateta.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
Bet 1 half: Arsenal win
In the last three face-to-face meetings, Arsenal won in the opening 45 minutes.
1.97The bet is an accurate score of 2:0
Arsenal have scored three of their last four wins with a "dry" score.
6.30Bet Crystal Palace Victory on Yellow cards
In six of the last seven matches, Crystal Palace players have received more yellow cards than their opponents.
1.65The Total cornerbetis more than 9.5
This bet was played in four of the Eagles' five previous matches
1.81Tip and bets
In October, when Crystal Palace was showing successful results, Arsenal won the Premier League with a minimum score of 1.:0. Now the Eagles are clearly on the decline, the defeat by Leeds in the last round in the Premier League with four goals conceded clearly shows that the players are tired, the defense has begun to malfunction, and Oliver Glasner has no opportunities for a full rotation of the squad. Only due to the huge motivation it is possible to give out one bright match, but no more than that. Arsenal, unlike the opponent, even taking into account the injuries of some players, still has a solid depth of the squad, which can be a key factor today. Of course, we also remember that the Gunners won in seven of the eight previous face-to-face meetings.
Our betting tip is that Arsenal will win with an Asian handicap (-1) by a factor of 1.85
Bet on the total
Crystal Palace's defense began to falter more and more often. In the previous three matches, the Eagles had consistently conceded at least two goals, even from far from the top rivals, COOPS and Leeds. We believe that it will not be difficult for the gunners to hit the goal of a convenient opponent at least twice today.
The second bet is Arsenal's individual goal total of more than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.67
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
Crystal Palace lost in the previous two rounds in the Premier League by a three-goal margin, and showed an uncertain defensive game. At the moment, the eagles are on a decent decline, Arsenal is quite capable of taking advantage of this and formalizing a comfortable victory with an advantage of two or three goals.
The betting tip is for Arsenal to win by two or three goals with a coefficient of 2.90
