LiontipsBournemouth - Chelsea: betting tip (cf 2.65) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Bournemouth quite unexpectedly made a strong start in the Premier League, and for some time even entered the top 4. However, with a modest squad by the standards of the Premier League, it is difficult to keep a high level at a distance, now we see an obvious decline. In the last five rounds, the Cherries have not won a single victory, scored only one point in this segment and dropped back to 14th place in the table.
It is characteristic that in the previous three matches Bournemouth did not have the most difficult calendar: West Ham, Sunderland and Everton. Nevertheless, we only managed to score points with the hammers (2:2). In the last round, Andoni Iraola's team hosted Everton on their own field and were practically unable to create anything at the other's goal: five shots in the entire match, two of them on target. The opponent used one of his few chances in the second half and snatched victory with a minimum score of 1-0.
Traditionally, Bournemouth has been successful at the Vitality, but now even the support of the local public is not helping. In the previous two home matches, the Cherries failed to beat the lowly West Ham and Everton.
Disqualifications and injuries
Akinmboni, Doak and Christie will not play due to injuries. Adams and Cook will serve their suspension.
Interesting betting trends
- In four of the previous five matches, Bournemouth had lost in the first half.
- In seven of Bournemouth's last nine Premier League matches, at least four goals have been scored.
- Bournemouth have not lost at home in seven of their last eight matches.
Approximate line–up: Petrovic – Jimenez, Diakite, Senesi, Truffert – Milosavljevic, Scott - Semenyo, Tavernier, Adly – Evanilson.
Current form
Chelsea suffered a sensational 1-3 defeat to Leeds in the middle of the week in the match of the 14th round. The opponent scored two goals in the first half, after which he did not allow almost anything to be created at his own goal. The Aristocrats had possession of the ball 71% of the playing time, but scored only two shots on target, one of which turned out to be accurate. It looks like the players are tired. Let's remind, before that, the Londoners pulled out a difficult 1-1 draw against Arsenal, when they had to play more than half with ten players.
In the standings, after losing to Leeds, Enzo Maresca's team is in fourth place, three points behind third-placed Aston Villa, with leading Arsenal ahead by nine points. On the road, in general, the aristocrats are performing well for the season, they scored 13 points in seven matches played.
Chelsea have a busy schedule of matches, a lot of missing players, which negatively affects the game, and because of this, in many ways, we see decent fluctuations. In the Champions League, the Londoners confidently defeated Barcelona 3-0 at home in the last round. Now, after five rounds, they have 10 points and an intermediate seventh place. Here, too, the fight is in full swing, as the bet is on finishing in the top 8.
Disqualifications and injuries
Colville and Lavia are injured. Caicedo will serve his suspension. Entering the Essugo field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Chelsea have not lost in six of their last eight Premier League games.
- In the previous nine Premier League matches, Chelsea had lost just once in the first half.
- In 11 of the last 13 matches involving Chelsea, more than two offsides were recorded.
Approximate composition: Sanchez – Gusteau, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella – Fernandez, Santos – Neto, Joao Pedro, Garnacho – Delap.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
Bet 1 half: Chelsea win
In two of the three previous face-to-face games, the Aristocrats were stronger in the first half
2.65Chelsea'sbetWon't Lose on Corners
In three of the last four matches, Chelsea did not concede on the corners.
1.51The exact score is 1:2
This score was recorded in two of the seven previous face-to-face meetings.
8.60Chelsea'sbetis to score in the second half
In the previous five matches, the Aristocrats scored goals after the break.
1.52The Bournemouthbetwill not lose on yellow cards
In six of the last seven matches of the hosts, such a bet was successful.
1.68Tip and bets
Chelsea had a misfire with Leeds the day before, but it's obviously too early to talk about a serious decline in one match. This is largely due to the previous difficult battles with Barcelona and Arsenal, where a lot of effort was given. The aristocrats cannot afford a second consecutive defeat, otherwise they will leave the top 4. Bournemouth are currently on a decent decline, unable to win in five meetings in a row, and the calendar for at least the previous three rounds was not the most difficult. The losses in the squad affect the failures of the hosts, as there is no depth, and we have to play now in a tight schedule. It is unlikely that at the moment the cherries are ready to do something against the aristocrats, even in the Vitality, where they are traditionally strong. Since 2019, Chelsea has not lost to Bournemouth, having managed to win five times in the past time. We expect in the betting tip that the guests will take away three points from Bournemouth and thereby confirm the status of the favorite, which the bookmakers have given them.
Our prediction is that Chelsea will win by a factor of 2.20
Bet on the total
Bournemouth's defense began to falter more and more often. The Cherries have conceded at least two goals against Manchester City, Aston Villa, West Ham and Sunderland, and have allowed their opponents to score 24 times in total since the start of the Premier League season. We don't think Chelsea's powerful attack will have any trouble upsetting the opposing goalkeeper even twice.
The second bet is that Chelsea's individual goal total is over 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.88
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
We have to play on a busy schedule right now, and it's unlikely that we should expect a bright and highly productive game against the background of decent fatigue. Taking into account all the tournaments, Chelsea have won four of the last five matches with an advantage of one or two goals, which we are waiting for today.
Prediction – Chelsea will win by one or two goals with a coefficient of 2.65
