Gabriel Bonfim - Randy Brown: betting tip and bets for the fight

Current form

Bonfim, this Brazilian kid with the grip of a pit bull, just snatched a split decision victory from Stephen Thompson in Nashville in July. And the judges, as if for spite, gave almost everything to Thompson. But the guy didn't lose his head. Before that, he had just strangled Chaos Williams like a good old boa constrictor. He has a 5-1 record in the UFC (18-1 in total), and the only puncture occurred in 2023 from Nicholas Dalby with knees to the head, although everyone was betting on him as a bank. The main thing here is the handspan. Brown has as much as 78 inches, and Bonfim has a modest 72.

The Jamaican whirlwind will simply tear up in the rack. Not only with his long arms, but also because he's a God-given drummer. So Bonfim, a smart guy, will rush to the stalls. This is his chance in the first main event, and after that near-losing kickboxing meat grinder with Thompson, he knows for sure: play your trump cards. He rolls 4.02 takedowns in 15 minutes. This is space. And 1.6 attempts of submissives in the same minutes. Above average, like my pulse in the stands.

Interesting betting trends

The accuracy of Bonfim's punches is 49 percent.

Current form

Brown, meanwhile, knocked out Dalby with a right hook in the last fight, clean as a textbook. Before that, he surrendered separately to Brian Battle, the very king of dirty boxing. Randy's record is 14-6 in the UFC, and defeats against the elite: Jack Della Maddalena, Belal Muhammad, Vicente Lucke. The protection against takedowns on paper is 73 percent. It sounds solid.

But in fact, the cracks are visible. The battle failed him twice out of five, and he has an accuracy of only 17 percent. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos four out of seven. But against Thurman and Camozzi, Brown is reinforced concrete. So the numbers are deceptive.

Interesting betting trends

The accuracy of Brown's punches is 51 percent.