Liverpool vs Aston Villa: betting tip (cf 3.30) and bets on the English Premier League match

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Aston VillaEngland
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Liverpool - Aston Villa
Liverpool's Premier League losing streak has reached the four-match mark. On the eve of the League Cup, Arne Slot did not involve the main squad, the bet is on a home match in the championship on November 1 against Aston Villa. Will the Merseysiders be able to break the series of failures today and win against their neighbor in the standings? - the answer is in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Liverpool

Current form

The fall of Liverpool continues, and the chair under Arne Slot is decently shaky. Record money was spent on transfers in the summer, but so far the expectations are completely unfulfilled. In many ways, the blame for the failures lies precisely with the coach, who over the past time has not been able to create a single whole from a scattering of stars. The series of defeats in the Premier League reached the mark of four matches, in which nine goals were conceded, and the star attack could not compensate for these failures in defense, although they regularly scored.

Liverpool are only in seventh place in the standings after nine rounds. From the point of view of the fight for the top 4, nothing terrible has happened yet: the gap from Sunderland, which closes the top four, is only two points. Another thing is that the bet was originally on the championship title, but now Arsenal is already ahead by seven points. In the last round, the Merseysiders failed to cope with Brentford on the road - a 2:3 defeat.

Arne Slot sacrificed the League Cup this week, and actually released a reserve squad for the 1/8 finals match against Crystal Palace, which led to a 0:3 defeat. Only the game itself will show how much this will help today with Aston Villa, but in general the team has a huge selection of excellent performers, it is unlikely that the reason for the current crisis lies only in in banal fatigue. Rather, there are a number of reasons for this: numerous injuries, a lack of consistency in the squad, and frequent defensive failures.

Disqualifications and injuries

Bajcetic, Dunns, Leonie, Alisson, Frimpong and Isak will not play due to injuries. Gravenberch and Jones are in question.

Interesting betting trends

  • Liverpool have conceded at least two goals in their last four Premier League matches.
  • In six of Liverpool's eight previous matches, no more than three offsides were recorded.
  • The exchange of goals was in 12 of the last 14 games of the Merseysiders in the Premier League.

The approximate line-up: Mamardashvili – Bradley, Konate, van Dijk, Kerkez – Soboslai, McAllister – Salah, Wirtz, Gakpo – Ekitike.

Aston Villa

Current form

Aston Villa had their own crisis, which came at the start of the season and which they managed to overcome. Right now, based on the latest results, we have one of the best teams in the Premier League. In the previous seven matches, taking into account all tournaments, the Birmingham team won six times. The only setback in this segment came in an away game in the Europa League with the Go Ahead Eagles (1:2).

In the Premier League, Aston Villa posted a four-game winning streak and climbed to eighth place with 15 points. Liverpool is ahead, which has better additional indicators. It is impossible not to mention the pragmatic football of Unai Emery: nine goals scored and eight goals conceded. With such indicators, scoring 15 points in attack is definitely worth a lot. On the other hand, it was the focus on defense that had a positive effect and led to improved results. In the last round, the lions withstood the onslaught of Manchester City's attack at home and achieved a 1-0 victory.

Aston Villa left the League Cup at the previous stage, did not play during the week, purposefully prepared for a trip to Liverpool. It has not been possible to win against the Merseysiders since 2020, but at the same time, a draw was recorded in three of the five previous face-to-face confrontations.

Disqualifications and injuries

Thielemans, Garcia and Elliott will not play in the match due to injuries.

Interesting betting trends

  • Aston Villa have a five-match unbeaten streak in the Premier League.
  • In four of the five previous Birmingham matches in the Premier League, an exchange of goals was recorded.
  • In three of Aston Villa's last five matches, there has been a draw in the first half.

Approximate composition: Martinez – Cash, Consa, Torres, Dinh – Onana, Camara – Gessan, Rogers, McGinn – Watkins.

xG Expected goals
Liverpool
2.185xG per Match0.83
Aston Villa

Trends

The Total Yellow cardrateis more than 3.5

In six of Liverpool's eight previous matches, such a bet has passed.

1.63
1.63

1st halfbet: draw

In three of the last five matches of the Lions, a draw was recorded in the opening 45 minutes.

2.55
2.55

The Total cornerbetis more than 10.5

In six of Liverpool's last eight matches, more than 10 corners have been taken.

1.90
1.90

The bet is an exact score of 1:1

Liverpool and Aston Villa have drawn in three of their last five face-to-face matches.

7.60
7.60

Tip and bets

TipAston Villa with handicap (+1)
1.83

Arne Slot rested all the leaders in the cup game against Crystal Palace this week, the bet is obvious on the game today in the Premier League, where the series of defeats reached the four-match mark. At the same time, Aston Villa did not play in the League Cup at all, as they were eliminated from the tournament at the previous stage. We do not think that the reason for Liverpool's recent failures is only the fatigue of key players. Obviously, everything is much more complicated, first of all, there is no teamwork, a single whole, so far we only see a set of stellar newcomers. Plus, Salah is out of shape, who often dragged the team last season. The defense is constantly making mistakes, and this cannot be fixed in one fell swoop. The Birmingham team has reached the peak of their form here and now, demonstrates pragmatic football with an emphasis on defense, withstood the last duel with Manchester City and may well do it with Liverpool in crisis.

Our betting tip is for Aston Villa to win with an Asian handicap (+1) by a factor of 1.83

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Tiptotal less than three goals
1.92

Bet on the total

With a high degree of probability, after numerous failures, Liverpool will try to play more reliably in defense. At the same time, Aston Villa has not been very effective in the championship throughout the season, and it is unlikely that they will go ahead with great efforts at Anfield. We don't expect more than three goals scored in a match today.

The second bet is a total of less than three goals with a coefficient of 1.92

Combined bid

Taking into account the recent failures of Liverpool and the excellent current form of Aston Villa, it is logical to play a combined bet on the non-loss of the guests and a low total in the match. The bet that the Birmingham team will not lose and no more than three goals will be scored in the match was successful in three previous matches with the participation of the lions.

The betting tip is that Aston Villa will not lose and the total is less than 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 3.30

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips23
% of profit-0.21%
Win percentage52.17%
Average coefficient1.8
Wins52.17%  (12)
Refunds8.70%  (2)
Loses39.13%  (9)
Total tips452
% of profit16.93%
Win percentage45.13%
Average coefficient1.91
Wins45.13%  (204)
Refunds8.41%  (38)
Loses46.46%  (210)