Kyle Nelson - Matt Frevola: betting tip and bets for the fight

Lightweight. rogers-arena
Kyle NelsonCanada
Matt FrevolaUSA
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Kyle Nelson - Matt Frevola
Kyle Nelson, a fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightweight category, will face Matt Frevola. The fight will take place on October 19 as part of the UFC tournament in Vancouver, Canada. Will the owner of the octagon be able to succeed in the fight with the American and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Kyle Nelson

Current form

Both fighters enter the cage after difficult failures. Nelson was stopped by Steve Garcia by technical knockout in the first round, and that happened more than a year ago. Before that, he didn't even get into the right weight category at the weigh-in, which also doesn't add confidence to the discipline. Before that defeat, Nelson managed to win by decision against Jai Herbert in 2022, he also managed to draw the fight with Doo Ho Choi, and then beautifully turn off the lights for Bill Algeo. 

The 34-year-old Canadian has 15 wins: six by knockout, six by decision and three by submission. He lost six times. This fight will be his debut in the lightweight division. Nelson has always looked big at featherweight, so moving to lightweight might be the right decision for him. It will become easier to prepare, the weight training will not torment at night, and at the same time, next to the Canopy, it does not look smaller — on the contrary, it is two inches taller. 

Interesting betting trends

The accuracy of Nelson's punches is 46 percent.

 

Matt Frevola

Current form

Matt Frevola can't brag about happy memories either. He was stopped by Fares Ziam's knee in Paris, and that was also more than a year ago. And before that, Frevola missed a kick in the head from Benoit Saint-Denis. The 35-year-old American has 11 wins: four by knockout, four by decision and three by submission. There are five defeats. He has had championship fights in his entire mixed martial arts career.

Interesting betting trends

The accuracy of Frevola strikes is 41 percent.

Trends

Bet The duel won't be complete

The two fighters have 16 early victories.

1.44
1.44

Tip and bets

TipTotal less than 2.5 rounds
1.69

In this battle, everything is heading towards the fact that a real battle of mechanisms awaits us without unnecessary romance. Frevola fights better in theory, but his trouble is that he doesn't turn off the chopping mode, even when he starts burning under a hail of blows. Nelson has a chance to seize the moment in such a shootout. But there is another problem — none of these guys know how to properly distribute their forces. Therefore, it is logical to look towards an early denouement.

Our betting tip is a total of less than 2.5 rounds in 1.59    

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips11
% of profit-0.02%
Win percentage54.55%
Average coefficient1.8
Wins54.55%  (6)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses45.45%  (5)
Total tips22
% of profit-0.23%
Win percentage50.00%
Average coefficient1.74
Wins50.00%  (11)
Refunds4.55%  (1)
Loses45.45%  (10)