LiontipsLucas Roja - Stuart Nicholl: betting tip and bets for the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Lucas Roja returns after a bitter submission loss to Clayton Carpenter a year ago, which was his first fight since his Contender Series triumph. Before that, fights with Jose Johnson and Joshua Wang had broken down, but the pause was beneficial: at the age of 25, Roja matured like wine, emerging from teenage audacity into mature confidence. The Brazilian has 15 wins (nine by knockout, three by decision, three by submission) and one defeat. He's like a young bull — fast, with a knockout punch and the home support of Rio, where the crowd will roar for his own.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Roja's punches is 45 percent.
Current form
Stuart Nicholl made his UFC debut in Australia in August 2017, but Jesus Aguilar caught him on the guillotine, despite his status as a favorite. The 30-year-old former XFC champion has five wins (three by knockout, one by decision, one by submission) and one loss. A year of pause after the debut could give a psychological boost, but in a cage it is a risk: the form could become dull, and reflexes could rust. The Aussie is slightly bigger, but this will not save from the Brazilian pressure.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of the strikes is 57 percent.
Trends
Bet The duel won't be complete
The two fighters have 16 early victories.
1.50Tip and bets
Predicting this fight is like guessing on the cards: we don't know much about Nicoll, his debut showed gaps in defense against submissives. A break of a year could harden his mentality, but at the age of 30 he is no longer an avenue, and the form is questionable. Roja, on the contrary, is young, hungry and fights at home — it's like an extra charge in the battery. Biometrics is on the Australian's side, but youth and the Rio crowd outweigh it. We are waiting for Lucas to light up the octagon with a knockout or a prolonged control.
Our prediction is that Roja will win in 1.81
