LiontipsJaphel Filho - Clayton Carpenter: betting tip and bets for the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Japhel Filho got into a tough rematch with Allan Nasciment in May, who prevailed by decision, but the Brazilian showed his teeth in the stand and stalls. Before that, Japhel tore everyone apart with his submissives: Aude Osborn and Daniel Bares surrendered to his cunning grips, as if in a spider's web. His UFC debut came out bitter a year ago — Muhammad Mokaev strangled him, but it was a lesson from the elite. Filho is a master of takedowns, averaging 2.45 in 15 minutes with 42 percent accuracy. He played four of the seven games against Nascimento, conceding only one. The 32-year-old former Shooto Brasil champion has 16 wins (five by knockout, one by decision, ten by submission) and four defeats.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Filho's strokes is 42 percent.
Current form
Clayton Carpenter fought back well in his last fight with Tagir Ulanbekov, but Ulanbekov is a machine, he won by unanimous decision. The American scored three takedowns out of six attempts, but this is a level where even the giants stumble. Before that, Clayton strangled Lucas Rocha in the second round, ruining the bonus of the evening. The 29-year-old grapler has eight wins (two by knockout, two by decision, four by submission) and one loss. He is a classic of American wrestling, he dominates from above, but in the lightest it is a test of strength.
Interesting betting trends
Carpenter's punches are 53 percent accurate.
Trends
Bet The duel won't be complete
The two fighters have 21 early victories.
2.08Tip and bets
It will be chess on the mat: both rush to the stalls, but the styles are like fire and ice. Carpenter is a tank from above, pressing with control, Filho is a ninja of submissives, dangerous from anywhere, even from the back. In the fight for takedowns, we are waiting for a couple of transfers to our brother — Filho will spend a lot of time at the bottom, but he will turn the game around, earning points with control and threats. The American is weak from the back, he won't score points when the Brazilian is on top. Rio will push the host to triumph with a decision — a classic for a veteran.
Our betting tip is that Filho will win 1.94
