LiontipsManchester City vs Napoli: betting tip (cf 3.00) and bets on the Champions League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Last season, Manchester City performed poorly in the Champions League. The townspeople barely made it to the playoffs, where they lost to Real Madrid 2:3 and 1:3 in the first round without a chance). In the Premier League, too, the wards of Josep Guardiola performed unconvincingly, there were protracted slumps, but in the end they still managed to finish in third place. Thus, the team will play in the main tournament of the Champions League for the 15th time in a row.
Given the not-so-convincing season, major changes were made to the squad in the summer. So, the contract with Kevin de Bruyne was not extended, who went to the camp of Napoli and will play against his former team today. Besides him, Gundogan, Akanji, Grealish and Ederson have left, in fact, all the old leaders. They were replaced by young players who had established themselves in other clubs. Literally at the very finish of the transfer window, the club signed PSG goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma.
Obviously, given such major changes in the squad, it is not necessary to wait for a stable game at the start of the season performed by the townspeople. Manchester City is seriously stormy in the Premier League. There have already been two defeats in four rounds: from Tottenham at home (0:2) and from Brighton away with a score of 1:2. At the same time, in the last round of the Mancunian derby, Guardiola's wards confidently dealt with Manchester United (3:0). With six points scored, the team is in eighth place in the table after four rounds.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ait-Nuri, Marmush, Stones, Kovacic and Sherki will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In four of the last five matches, Manchester City have won in the first half.
- Manchester City have scored at least two goals in 15 of their last 17 home matches in the Champions League.
- At least four goals were scored in six of the eight previous home matches of the citizens in the Champions League.
Approximate composition: Donnarumma – Lewis, Dias, Ake, Guardiola – Rhodri – B.Silva, Foden, Reynders, Doku – Holland.
Current form
Last season, Napoli won the Scudetto in a difficult fight with Inter. At the finish, the rivals were separated by only one point. Much of the success is due to the work of Antonio Conte, who, by the standards of Serie A, was far from the top squad. In the summer, the Neapolitans not only retained the backbone of the squad, but also strengthened themselves with experienced players. Special attention should be paid to the appearance of Kevin de Bruyne in the team. Obviously, he has a grudge against Manchester City, which did not extend his contract with him, obviously today the Belgian will play with great dedication.
The Neapolitans actively held a large number of friendly matches, and they played an updated squad back in the summer. At the start of the Serie A, Napoli performed flawlessly: nine points scored in three rounds, only one missed goal. In the last game of the championship, an away victory over Fiorentina was recorded with a score of 3:1. Conte's players immediately topped the standings, ahead of Juventus in additional indicators.
Special attention should be paid to the fact that Napoli is currently playing without the injured attack leader Romelu Lukaku. This loss, as we can see from the results, did not turn out to be total, although, of course, the offensive line lost some of its sharpness without him. Hoylund, who was loaned from Manchester United, has already proved himself, scoring a goal against Fiorentina.
Disqualifications and injuries
Napoli have Lukaku and Rahmani on the injured list. The exit to the Meret field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In 12 of the last 13 matches, Napoli has not lost by offside
- Napoli have scored two of their last three wins with a dry score.
- In five matches in a row, the Neapolitans have not lost in the first half.
Approximate line-up: Milinkovic–Savic - Di Lorenzo, Beckema, Buongiorno, Olivera – Lobotka – Politano, De Bruyne, Zambo-Anguissa, McTominay – Hoylund.
Trends
The rate of Total Manchester City corners is more than 5.5
In 13 of the last 17 home matches in the Champions League, Manchester City have played more than five innings from the corner flag.
1.70Napoli'sbetis to score in the first half
In four of the previous five matches, Napoli scored goals in the opening 45 minutes.
2.65The bet is an accurate score of 1:1
Napoli have drawn in 3 of the last 13 matches.
7.10Bet Goals in both halves – yes
The bet has played in four of the last five guest games
1.69The Total Yellow Cardrateis less than 3.5
This bet took place in eight of the last nine home matches of the "citizens" in the Champions League.
1.72Tip and bets
Manchester City certainly doesn't look invincible at the start of the season. Two defeats in four rounds played in the Premier League, there is still no teamwork of a decently updated squad, although individually strong performers are assembled in all lines. Napoli, in terms of organizing the game under the leadership of Antonio Conte, is definitely not inferior to the citizens at the moment, and has entered the season more than confidently. Hoylund fit in perfectly, which is why Lukaku's loss in attack is not so noticeable. We believe that the bookmakers underestimate the guests somewhat.
Our prediction is that Napoli will win with an Asian handicap (+1) for a coefficient of 1.75
Bet on the total
It is unlikely that the Neapolitans will risk playing outdoor soccer in Manchester, given the solid potential of the opponent's attack. In the opening three rounds of the Serie A, Napoli's defense did its job well, conceding only one goal. We expect that the visitors will not allow Manchester City to fully express themselves in attack.
The second bet is Manchester City's individual goal total of less than two with a coefficient of 1.62
Combined bid
Based on our expectations, it would be logical to play a combined bet with a high chance that Napoli will not lose and no more than three goals will be scored in the match. The Neapolitans are approaching the upcoming match on a winning streak of six matches, and three of the previous four were exactly according to this scenario.
The betting tip is that Napoli will not lose and the total is less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 3.00
