LiontipsArsenal vs Nottingham Forest: betting tip (CF 4.10) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Arsenal entered the new season confidently, taking the maximum six points in the opening two rounds. At first, the Gunners withstood a difficult test of strength away from Manchester United. In that game, the Londoners scored their own goal and defended most of the time, holding the score 1-0 until the final whistle. It was much easier in the second round - Leeds was noticeably inferior in class, and the 5-0 victory turned out to be more than confident.
Liverpool did not allow us to build on our successes in the third round. The game was not the brightest, the opponents worked reliably in defense. During the entire match, the two of them managed to land only four shots on target. Nevertheless, in the 83rd minute, Soboslai found his moment and brought victory to the Merseysiders with a minimum score of 1:0. Note that Arsenal's star newcomers have not yet fully revealed themselves.
The Gunners have a home match against Nottingham Forest ahead of them. The factor of one's own field cannot be ignored. In the last seven matches at the Emirates, the Londoners have opened the scoring, and in the same seven matches there was only one defeat at home. Foresters are one of the most convenient opponents to win on their own field: in six face-to-face matches in a row, taking into account all tournaments, Arsenal won, and invariably scored at least two goals.
Disqualifications and injuries
Forwards Bukayo Saca, Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus are injured and will not play today. The appearance of midfielder Christian Nergor and defender William Salib on the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In four consecutive matches, Arsenal has not lost in the first half (three wins and one draw)
- In three of the four previous matches, Arsenal players fouled more often than their opponents.
- Arsenal have not lost in the Premier League in 13 of their last 15 matches.
- No more than three goals were scored in 13 of the Gunners' 17 previous Premier League games.
Approximate composition: David Raya – Gabriel Magallanes, Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Riccardo Calafiori – Martin Subimendi, Declan Rice, Mikel Merino – Gabriel Martinelli, Noni Madueke, Victor Diokeres.
Current form
During the international break for the national team matches, the leadership of Nottingham Forest dismissed Nuna Espirito Santo. It was with him that the team made significant progress last season, even fighting for a place in the Champions League. After the start of the new season, the Portuguese specialist openly expressed his dissatisfaction with the fact that there was no strengthening of the squad, because they would have to play in a busy schedule, given their participation in the Europa League. He was replaced by Ange Postecoglou, who just won the League with Tottenham, but was a complete failure in the Premier League.
The Foresters' start in the Premier League was mixed. The failure was avoided, but they scored four points in three rounds and took tenth place. At the same time, the calendar was not the most difficult in this segment, a 0-3 home defeat in the last round was clearly not part of the plans. Moreover, in that match, the opponent scored all three goals after the 84th minute, and Nottingham Forest managed to land only three shots on target in the entire game.
In addition to the setback against West Ham, the foresters have a 3-1 home win over Brentford and a 1-1 away draw with Crystal Palace. It should be noted that Nottingham Forest regularly fails in the second half: four of the five goals conceded came just in the second 45 minutes.
Disqualifications and injuries
Dylan Bakwa, Nicolo Savona and Enrique da Silva Moreira are out due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In five of the last six matches, Nottingham Forest has lost by the number of shots on target.
- In the previous eight Premier League matches, the Foresters have won only twice.
- In five of the last seven Premier League games involving Nottingham Forest, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
Provisional squad: Matz Sels – Ola Aina, Murillo, Nikola Milenkovic, Neko Williams – Elliot Anderson, Morgan Gibbs-White, Ibrahim Sangare – Dan Ndoye, Callum Hudson-Odoi, Chris Wood.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
Arsenal'sbetwon't Lose on Yellow cards
In six of the last seven matches, Nottingham Forest players have not received more yellow cards than their opponents.
1.90Bet Arsenal will score in the second half
In two of the three previous matches, the Foresters conceded in the second 45 minutes.
1.34The bet is an accurate score of 2:0
Arsenal have scored three of their last four home wins in personal meetings.
6.20Bet Goals in both halves – no
In three of the last five face-to-face matches, goals were not scored in each of the halves.
1.931st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In four of Nottingham Forest's previous five games, no more than one goal was scored in the opening 45 minutes.
1.52Tip and bets
Arsenal lost to Liverpool before the break for the national team matches, but it's hardly worth talking about any decline in the game in this match, nevertheless the opponent is not easy, and they played on the road. Today, the Gunners are playing at home against a comfortable opponent, who they beat on their own field in six previous matches in a row. Plus, Nottingham Forest has already managed to change the coach, we do not think that Postecoglou will be able to immediately adjust the game in attack, where there are obvious problems with creating dangerous chances. At the moment, we have teams between which there is a significant difference in class, the favorite is able to confidently take three points, as he did not so long ago at the Emirates in the confrontation with Leeds.
Our betting tip is that Arsenal will win with an Asian handicap (-1.5) by a factor of 2.08
Bet on the total
The current Nottingham Forest is far from the team that was famous for its reliable and well-organized defense last season. Now you can see regular mistakes in defense, weak play in the endings. There is a high probability that the upcoming meeting will be productive.
The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.75
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
Arsenal plays on their own field, where they are traditionally strong. The opponent is clearly experiencing problems in the organization of the game at the start of the season, he has already managed to change the coach. We believe that the Gunners are able to arrange a comfortable victory with a two-goal advantage today and thus avoid a nervous ending.
Prediction – Arsenal win with a two-goal advantage with a coefficient of 4.10
