LiontipsMadison Keys - Renata Sarasua: prediction and bets for the US Open match
Command Analysis
Keyes didn't achieve much success on the American hardcore series, but she didn't have any failures either. In Montreal, Madison made it to the quarterfinals, and in Cincinnati sheathed the racket following the results of the 1/8 finals. She has a start ahead at the USA Open, where she missed the grid last year and lost in the third round to Mertens.
Sarasua is firmly entrenched in the top 100. Renata did not have much success in the American hardball series, she did not overcome more than one round anywhere. Nevertheless, we note that she managed to impose a tight fight between Ostapenko and Rybakina in Montreal and Cincinnati, taking them in straight sets, although she lost the matches. Sarasua managed to get through one round at the US Open a year ago.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
This is how events unfolded in three of Sarasua's previous five fights.
2.211st setbet: total more than 9.5 games
This bet has played in three of the last five Keyes matches.
2.89Tip and bets
Keyes has a significant advantage in the class and it is unlikely that she will allow herself to lose at the start. At the same time, Sarasua has recently made tangible progress, she rarely gives up matches without a fight, and in the American hardball series she has won sets against Ostapenko and Rybakina. We believe that the defeat performed by Madison is not worth waiting for today.
Our prediction is that Sarasua will win with a handicap of (+6.5) games with a coefficient of 1.79
