Ilia Topuria as Charles Oliveira. Betting Tip for the fight

International
Ilia Topuria
Spain
26.10.24
Ilia Topuria:Max Holloway
18.02.24
Alex Volkanovski:Ilia Topuria
24.06.23
Josh Emmett:Ilia Topuria
11.12.22
Bryce Mitchell:Ilia Topuria
19.03.22
Jai Herbert:Ilia Topuria
11.07.21
Ryan Hall:Ilia Topuria
Lightweight
t-mobile-arena
Brazil
17.11.24
Charles Oliveira:Michael Chandler
14.04.24
Charles Oliveira:Arman Tsarukyan
11.06.23
Charles Oliveira:Beneil Dariush
22.10.22
Charles Oliveira:Islam Makhachev
08.05.22
Charles Oliveira:Justin Gaethje
12.12.21
Charles Oliveira:Dustin Poirier

The fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship, Ilia Topuria, will face Charles Oliveira in a duel for the lightweight title. The fight will take place on June 29 as part of the UFC 317 tournament in Las Vegas (USA). Will a fighter from Georgia be able to succeed in a duel with a Brazilian and what bets should he choose? - read in our betting tip

Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira Prediction and Betting Tips (29.06.2025)

Command Analysis

Ilia Topuria

Spain

Current form

Ilia Topuria is like a lightning bolt hitting exactly the target. Undefeated (16-0), he broke into the UFC elite, knocking out two featherweight legends in a row. First, Alexander Volkanovsky collapsed from his right hook, then Max Holloway fell from his left, which Max and I have never seen before. The victory over Holloway in October 2024 was particularly striking: he looked lost, as if time or the power of Topuria had broken him.

Now Elijah is going to lightweight for the title, which was vacated by Islam Makhachev for the sake of a 170-pound campaign. Topuria is a former Mix Fight Events champion, his speed and accuracy are frightening, and his fighting and takedown defense make him versatile. But Charles Oliveira is a veteran who has seen everything, and his experience can be a test.

Interesting betting trends

The success rate of Topuria takedowns is 47 percent.

Charles Oliveira

Brazil

Current form

Charles Oliveira is like an old Brazilian samurai, battered but still deadly. In November 2024, he confidently reworked Michael Chandler, showing that at the age of 35 (35-10-0-1) He's still capable of a lot. His size is impressive: 7.5 cm taller than Topuria (180 cm versus 172.5 cm) and with a handspan of 187.5 cm versus 175 cm. Charles is an ex—lightweight champion, his title race was full of finishes, but also shocks.

He won against Dustin Poirier, Justin Geigi, Beneel Dariush, but lost to Islam Makhachev and Arman Tsarukyan. Oliveira is a master of the stalls, his jiu-jitsu is a trap, but he is vulnerable in the stand: protection from significant blows is only 49%, and in recent fights Chandler, Tsarukyan and Makhachev were hit too often.

Interesting betting trends Oliveira's punches are 55 percent accurate.

Trends

The Victory of Toupuria by Submissionbet

The statistics of Topuria's wins by submission is 50 percent.

7.20
7.20

Tip and bets

3.90Topuria's victory in the 3-4 round

Bookmakers see Topuria as a clear favorite, and this is no coincidence. This is a battle where youth and precision collide with experience and size. Ilia is a sniper and has the power to finish with one punch. He closes the distance with lightning speed, presses it against the grid and disassembles it. Oliveira will believe in his stance, but his defense is like a sieve. If Charles doesn't bring the fight to the ground quickly, Topuria can hook him.  But Oliveira is not just a drummer. His jiu-jitsu and clinch can create problems, especially given his size advantage. Topuria is good at fighting, but Charles is a master submissive. If the fight drags on, the Brazilian may catch on. However, the fight will follow a scenario where the Georgian dominates the stand, avoiding the stalls, and finishes in the second or third round — Oliveira has not finished in the first since 2015.

Our betting tip is that Topuria will win in round 3-4 in 3.90

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Tips from experts

Прогноз от Эксперта
igor-semshovИгорь Семшов
21 Jun | 18:00
Ривер Плейт:
Монтеррей
1.91
Прогноз от Эксперта
ivan-kornijchukИван Корнийчук
31 Mar | 12:00
Сельта:
Лас-Пальмас
1.94
Больше прогнозов на сегодня
dmitrij-budanov
Dmitriy Budanov
UFC
7 days+ 2= 0- 0
+0.1%
30 days+ 8= 0- 14
-1.0%

Betting predictions stat

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19tips
7win
0refund
12losing
-0.7%of profit
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20tips
10win
1refund
9losing
0.1%of profit