LiontipsBeneil Dariush - Renato Mokan: betting tip and bets for the fight on June 29, 2025)
Command Analysis
Current form
Beneel Daryush is an old master whose brush trembles after heavy blows. The last time he fought was in December 2023, when Arman Tsarukyan knocked him out in the first round. Before that, Charles Oliveira did the same thing in June 2023. Two knockouts in a row and an 18-month layoff is a wake—up call. At 36 years old (22-6-1, 5 KOs, 8 submissions, 9 decisions), he ranks ninth in the lightweight rankings. Dariyush is a UFC veteran since 2014, a master of grappling and solid punching. But his defense and recent defeats hint at a decline.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Dariyush's punches is 49 percent.
Current form
Renato Moicano is a Brazilian warrior, battle—hardened. In January 2025, at UFC 311, he came on as a substitute against Islam Makhachev and was strangled in the first round. Prior to that, he was on a four-win streak, including a bright finish by Benoit Saint-Denis. The 36-year-old fighter (20-6-1, 2 KOs, 10 submissions, 8 decisions) ranks 11th in the ranking. Moicanu moved up to lightweight in 2020, winning 6 of 8 fights, including wins over Drew Dober and Jalen Turner. His jiu-jitsu is a deadly threat.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Moikan's punches is 49 percent.
Trends
The Victorybetis for Mokan as a submissive
Moikan's victory statistics are painful/suffocating — 50 percent
4.70Tip and bets
Bookmakers see the fight as close, slightly favoring Mokan. This is a fight between two masters of grappling, where the stance can be decisive. Dariyush is a great wrestler, but his two knockouts and long downtime raise questions about his form. Moikanu, on the other hand, is active. Both are not punchers, but Renato is slightly better in the stance and has an advantage in defense. Moikanu's plan is to keep his distance, work with his feet and look for a submission in the clinch or stalls. Dariyush will hunt for takedowns, but Moikanu is no stranger to the world, and his jiu-jitsu can turn the fight around. Beneela's simple approach and his vulnerability in the stance give the Brazilian a chance. We are waiting for an intense fight, where the Latin American will exhaust the opponent and either finish by strangulation or take away the decision.
Our betting tip is that Moikan will win in 1.84
