LiontipsCody Garbrandt - Raoni Barcelos: betting tip and bets for the fight on June 15, 2025)
Command Analysis
Current form
Cody Garbrandt is like a shooting star that's still trying to shine. In 2024, he was caught by a submission from Davison Figueiredo, and this fight showed that Cody is still far from the title race. Figueiredo has already reached his ceiling in the light heavyweight division, and this speaks to Garbrandt's current level. He was supposed to fight Miles Jones twice in 2024, but the fights broke down, the last time due to an injury to Cody himself. His ultimate victory was a striking knockout over Brian Kelleher in 2023, which reminded us why we loved his boxing outbursts. But these moments have become rare, and Garbrandt fights as if years of hard fighting are hanging on him.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Garbrandt's punches is 41 percent.
Current form
Raoni Barcelos is a Brazilian hurricane that breaks all betting tips. In his last fight, he shocked the world by knocking out Payton Talbott as an underdog. And it wasn't an accident — Barcelos dominated from start to finish like a real octagon maestro. This victory was a continuation of his courage after his submission over Christian Quinones. At 38, Raoni looks fitter than many young fighters, and his mix of punches and wrestling makes him a nightmare for any opponent. He is ready to remind Garbrandt that the lightest weight is his territory.
Interesting betting trends
The success rate of Barcelona's takedowns is 37 percent.
Trends
Bet Barcelona's Victory by submission
The statistics of Barcelona's painful/suffocating wins is 42 percent.
4.60Tip and bets
Bookmakers see Barcelona as a clear favorite. This fight is like a meeting between a young veteran and a master who is still in business. Garbrandt fights like he's been through a hundred wars—the accumulated punches make themselves felt. Barcelos is the energy and form of a 25-year-old. Remember how he blew up young Talbott— it was a master class. Garbrandt has a strong defense against takedowns, but Raoni knows how to break down such walls. His passes to the legs, backed up by long arms and precise punches, are like a skeleton key to the stalls. It will be difficult for Cody there, because Barcelos can both finish off and look for submissives. In the rack, Raoni is no slouch either — he will keep his distance and win the exchanges, preventing Garbrandt from seizing his moment.
Cody is dangerous in the first few minutes, his knockouts are lightning attacks. But if the fight drags on, Barcelos will take over the steering wheel. We are waiting for Raoni to be smarter, turn the fight down and either finish or win on points.
Our betting tip is that Barcelona will win in 1.40
