Arina Sobolenko - Iga Schwentek: prediction for the Roland Garros match

The long-awaited match between Arina Sobolenko and Iga Schwentek will take place on June 5 in the semi-finals of Roland Garros. This season, the tennis players have not played against each other yet, and the total score in personal meetings is 9-4 in favor of Igi. Nevertheless, Arina is the favorite in the bookmaker line. What scenario will events develop on the court today and what are the best bets to choose? - the answer is in our expert's betting tip

Command Analysis

Aryna Sabalenka

Current form
It was only the second time in her career that Sobolenko made it to the semifinals at Roland Garros, and she never managed to get past this stage. According to the tournament schedule this year, Arina went through three rounds in the class, did not experience any difficulties with Rakhimova, Taikmann and Danilovich. She had her first problems in the 1/8 finals in the opening game with Anisimova, but Sobolenko coped and won in two sets (7-5, 6-3). The quarterfinal match against Zheng Jingwen (7-6, 6-3) followed a similar scenario.
Professional qualities
Sobolenko plays number one, makes full use of the potential of his powerful forehand, tries not to delay the draws, likes to increase the tempo. Recently, Arina has noticeably improved in the reliability of playing on the back line.
Current indicators in the tour
The Belarusian tennis player has been confidently holding the first place in the ranking since the beginning of the year, and has three titles to her credit. In total, Sobolenko played 46 matches in 2025, in which she scored 40 victories.
Interesting facts for betting
- Sobolenko scored all five wins in Paris with an accurate score of 2-0 in sets.

Iga Swiatek

Current form
Schwentek has won the title in Paris for three years in a row and currently has an impressive 26-match winning streak on local courts. This year, on the way to the semifinals, Iga did not experience any difficulties with Shramkova and Radukanu in only two opening matches. In the third round, she had a difficult second set with Christian (6-2, 7-5). In the 1/8 finals, the Polish tennis player lost the game to Rybakina (1-6, 6-3, 7-5). Next came the quarterfinals against Svitolina, where she again gave the initiative to her opponent in the second set, but was able to return to the game (6-1, 7-5).
Professional qualities
Iga is distinguished by his versatility, he knows how to play number one, and at the right moments he can reliably play in protracted draws on the back line. She has difficulties when her rivals completely take the initiative into their own hands and play ahead of the curve.
Current indicators in the tour
By the numbers, Iga is doing very well: 32 wins and nine losses. However, she failed to qualify for the finals at any of the tournaments, and failed to defend her ranking points in many of them. As a result, at the moment Schwentek is only the fifth racket of the world.
Interesting facts for betting
- Schwentek's winning streak in Paris reached 26 matches
Trends
The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
In only one of the last five face-to-face meetings, Sobolenko and Schwentek played three sets.
1.54Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
This was the scenario that played out on court in four of Sobolenko's five matches in Paris.
2.24Tip and bets
Sobolenko performs better than Schwentek for the season, and even taking into account the fact that he is inferior in personal meetings, he is the favorite among the bookmakers today. Igi had difficulties playing in almost every of the three previous matches in Paris, and she completely lost the opening game to Rybakina, which is not to say that the Polish tennis player is at her peak here and now. We believe that the first racket of the world will reach the final.
Our betting tip is that Sobolenko will win with a coefficient of 1.77