LiontipsMatteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston: prediction and bets on the match ATP Geneva
Command Analysis
Current form
Arnaldi, after a pretty good performance at the Madrid tournament, where he managed to reach the quarterfinals, did not perform well at the Rome Masters at home, losing in the first round to Roberto Bautista Agut. Matteo has won four matches and suffered four defeats on clay courts this season.
Professional qualities
Arnaldi's serve is not the most powerful, but it is variable enough to create difficulties for opponents. Matteo is fast and tries to play in an aggressive manner. He may not always be able to do this, but the Italian is definitely focused on attacking. The main argument in Arnaldi's game is the forehand, which is most productive on slow clay courts.
Current indicators in the tour
Arnaldi has won six trophies in his career. The 24-year-old Italian won his last title in 2023, winning the dirt challenger in Heilbronn. Matteo is currently in 39th place in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
The last five matches with Arnaldi were played in two sets.
Current form
Last week, Gaston took part in the home challenger in Bordeaux, where he beat Sumit Nagal in the first round, but then lost to Terence Atman. Hugo has scored four wins and suffered ten defeats on clay this season.
Professional qualities
Gaston has long gained the status of one of the most unconventional players on the tour. The Frenchman plays creatively, with a lot of slices, shortened and circling strokes. His goal is to constantly slow down the pace of the opponents' game and force them out of their comfort zone. Hugo moves superbly and is able to return even the most difficult balls.
Current indicators in the tour
Last season brought Gaston a victory at the home clay challenger in Lyon. It was the 24-year-old Frenchman's eighth career title. Hugo is within the top 100 in the world ranking - in 74th place.
Interesting facts for betting
Gaston has won only three fights in the last ten matches.
Trends
Gaston'sbetwith a handicap (+5.5)
Gaston has won with a handicap (+5.5) of a game in the last 7 matches
1.32Arnaldi's ITrateis less than 13.5
Arnaldi has won less than 13.5 games in 8 of the last 9 matches.
1.39Tip and bets
Arnaldi is the favorite among the bookmakers in this pair, but the Italian's playing conditions are not all right at the moment. So it is unlikely that he will be able to easily pass the viscous Gaston. We believe that Hugo, at least in this confrontation, will be able to cling to a positive head start.
Our prediction is that Gaston will win with a handicap of (+4) games for a coefficient of 1.91
Bet on the total
The playing conditions of both tennis players are currently at about the same level. So their upcoming face-to-face match is likely to be protracted and will be played in three sets.
The second betting tip is a total of more than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.96
Bet on the first set
In three of Gaston's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming match against Arnaldi will also start with the riding of the first game. The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.95
