LiontipsOklahoma Thunder - Denver Nuggets: betting tip and bets on the NBA match
Command Analysis
Current form
On May 16, the Oklahoma City Thunder couldn't handle the pressure in the sixth game of the quarterfinal series on the road and lost to Denver - 107-119. And now, as in a good Hollywood action movie, we are waiting for the denouement in the seventh act — the score in the series is 3-3. Although it would seem that Mark Dagnolt's guys met the break with a three—point advantage - 61:58. But after... classics of the genre by Mike Malone. The Nuggets turned on the playoff mode: a 10-2 spurt at the end of the third quarter - and they rolled out to the finish line with a solid handicap of +8.
The leader of the guests, of course, was the restless Shay Gilges-Alexander with 32 points, three rebounds and six assists. The fragile but spiteful Chet Holmgren also contributed 19 points and 11 rebounds. Lugenz Dort, Alex Caruso and the young Cian Wells each shipped a dozen. Jaylen Williams became the best on the billboards (ten) — but, admittedly, more was expected of him. Recall that Oklahoma finished the regular season first: 68 wins and only 14 losses.
Disqualifications and injuries
Good news for Thunder fans: all the stars are in action. The squad is combative, toothy, and ready for the final battle.
Interesting facts for betting
On average, the Thunder score 114 points in face-to-face meetings with Denver (in the last ten matches).
In the history of the playoffs, Oklahoma has beaten the Nuggets 15 times, and Denver 12.
Approximate line-up: Shay Gilges-Alexander, Lugenz Dort, Jaylen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein
Current form
And here's the answer from Denver. In the sixth game, Malone's team showed that there was nothing wrong with character here: they beat the best team in the West, equalized the series and turned all this fun into a pan or gone format. And who would doubt that the Nuggets, with Nikola Jokic as conductor, is always a treacherous rival.
The shop is especially worth noting. Russell Westbrook, it would seem, is no longer the same, but he came out and did his job (eight points). Julian Strawther is the very young spark that can ignite a flame. He had probably the best game of the playoffs: 15 points and a lot of emotions. Penalty fees? Yes, please: 27 out of 32! And Oklahoma had 10 out of 16. Jokic scored the classic 29 points, Jamal Murray - 25, but the hero of the evening was Christian Brown, who unexpectedly broke the ring by 23 points. Aaron Gordon didn't go. David Adelman's team finished fourth in the conference with 50 wins, but it doesn't matter anymore. The match of the entire series is on the agenda.
Disqualifications and injuries
The Nuggets arrived in full combat strength, with the exception of a minor issue on Aaron Gordon. But, apparently, he will come out.
Interesting facts for betting
On average, Denver scores 111 points per game against Oklahoma (based on the last ten meetings).
Approximate composition: Jamal Murray, Christian Brown, Michael Porter, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic
Trends
Holmgren's Total Reboundsrateis more than 10.5
Holmgren's average is 9.3 rebounds per game
1.88Gilges-Alexander's Total Assistrateis more than 7.5
Gilges-Alexander's average score is 6.4 assists per match
1.87Tip and bets
The bookmakers are betting on Oklahoma again, and their logic is clear: the home floor, Gilges-Alexander's courage, and the champion spirit of the regular season. But Denver is a team that laughs in the face of quotes. Jokic, Murray and the unexpectedly fired Brown showed in the sixth match that they could not be broken. The Nuggets' bench with Westbrook and Strother gives off sparks, and their penalties are like Swiss watches. Oklahoma missed a chance in the sixth game, and Jaylen Williams is still dragging the team down, which could be a problem in the seventh game. The series was like a roller coaster: from Jokic's failures to Murray's explosions. The Thunder couldn't finish off a weakened opponent, and Denver knows how to play decisive matches. The Nuggets' experience and composure make them dangerous, even on the road. We are waiting for a hard-fought battle, where Denver will give out an enchanting match thanks to Jokic and the defense. It will be a match where nerves and skill will decide everything.
Our prediction is that Denver will win with a handicap of (+7.5) points in 1.99
Bet on the total
The series was like a carousel in terms of total: from 179 points in the fourth game to 255 in the second. The last three matches were on the bottom, but the sixth broke through the upper limit. We believe that the seventh game will take over again. Both teams will give their best at 200%, and the Oklahoma Attack and the Denver fire promise a show. The semi-finals are at stake, and no one will be on the defensive. We are waiting for a bright match, where points will flow like a river.
Our betting tip is a total of more than 215.5 points, including overtime in 2.03
The bet on the player
Jokic is like a basketball genius who dominates under the shield. His average in the playoffs is 13.1 rebounds, and in five of the six games of the series he collected 13+. In the seventh match, when everything is on the line, the Serb will turn on the monster mode and tear the ring. Jokic will show class again and break through the total rebounds like a real king of the parquet
Our betting tip is a total over Jokic of 13.5 rebounds in 1.98
