LiontipsJulian Erosa - Melquizael Costa: betting tip and bets for the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Julian Erosa, aka Juicy J, is like an American warrior with a champion past. The former king of CageSport in two weight classes, he broke into the UFC in 2017, but his debut was like a cold shower - three defeats in a row. Then the career resembled a swing: victories were replaced by misfires. But now Eros is on a horse.
In April 2025, he knocked out compatriot Darren Elkins (TKO, first round), and before that he strangled Christian Rodriguez and Brazilian Ricardo Ramos (both submissive, first round). Three wins in a row is like a bid to return to the top. The 35-year-old American has 32 wins (11 by knockout, eight by decision, 13 by submission) and 12 defeats.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Erosa's punches is 50 percent.Julian has finished in the first round in nine fights in his career.
Current form
Melquizael Costa, aka Melk Cauthy, is a Brazilian talent who found himself after a bitter knockout from Steve Garcia in 2023. Since then, he has been going without misfires: three wins in a row, including submission wins over Andre Fili and Nuerdanbek Shailan. In March 2025, Costa showed class against Christian Rodriguez, confidently winning the fight by decision of the judges. His tactical training and balance are impressive. The 28-year-old Brazilian, a former PFL champion, has 22 wins (six by knockout, eight by decision, eight by submission) and six defeats.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Costa's punches is 50 percent. Melquizael has finished opponents in the first round in nine fights in his career.
Trends
Kosta's Victory by Submissionbet
Costa's victory statistics for painful/suffocating are 35 percent
8.20Tip and bets
The UFC brought together two fighters on the rise. Eros, with his veteran experience, is up against a young Costa who is rushing to the top. Both are masters of the stalls, so we are waiting for translations and attempts to strangle each other. Julian is a black hole in the stalls, and he has never lost a hand. Melkizael was caught in pain twice, including his UFC debut against Thiago Moises. Standing up also has something to surprise you with, although more often it's a series of punches rather than one-time knockouts. Eros is now in a fiery form and his size gives him an advantage. He's bigger than his opponent, and his finishes in the first round are a warning. It's stupid to write him off because of his age. Costa, on the other hand, showed tactical maturity against Rodriguez, and his defense can prolong the fight. We are waiting for a hard-fought fight that will reach the third round.
Our betting tip is a total of more than 2.5 rounds in 2.18
