Julian Erosa as Melquizael Costa. Betting Tip for the fight

International

Julian Erosa

USA

13.04.25

Darren Elkins:Julian Erosa

14.07.24

Julian Erosa:Christian Rodriguez

24.03.24

Ricardo Ramos:Julian Erosa

30.04.23

Julian Erosa:Fernando Padilla

18.12.22

Alex Caceres:Julian Erosa

11.09.22

Hakeem Dawodu:Julian Erosa

Featherweight

ufc-apex

17 May 16:00 UTC

Melquizael Costa

Brazil

29.03.25

Christian Rodriguez:Melquizael Costa

23.02.25

Andre Fili:Melquizael Costa

16.06.24

Melquizael Costa:Yilan Sha

10.12.23

Steve Garcia:Melquizael Costa

16.07.23

Austin Lingo:Melquizael Costa

22.01.23

Thiago Moises:Melquizael Costa

The fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the featherweight division Julian Erosa will face Melquizael Costa. The fight will take place on May 18 as part of the UFC Fight Night 256 tournament in Las Vegas (USA) at the home venue of the UFC Apex promotion, which can accommodate about one thousand spectators. The approximate start of the fight is 02:00 Moscow time. Will the American be able to succeed in a duel with the Brazilian and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Julian Erosa vs Melquizael Costa Prediction and Betting Tips (18.05.2025)

Command Analysis

Julian Erosa

USA

Current form

Julian Erosa, aka Juicy J, is like an American warrior with a champion past. The former king of CageSport in two weight classes, he broke into the UFC in 2017, but his debut was like a cold shower - three defeats in a row. Then the career resembled a swing: victories were replaced by misfires. But now Eros is on a horse.

In April 2025, he knocked out compatriot Darren Elkins (TKO, first round), and before that he strangled Christian Rodriguez and Brazilian Ricardo Ramos (both submissive, first round). Three wins in a row is like a bid to return to the top. The 35-year-old American has 32 wins (11 by knockout, eight by decision, 13 by submission) and 12 defeats.

Interesting betting trends

The accuracy of Erosa's punches is 50 percent.Julian has finished in the first round in nine fights in his career.

Melquizael Costa

Brazil

Current form

Melquizael Costa, aka Melk Cauthy, is a Brazilian talent who found himself after a bitter knockout from Steve Garcia in 2023. Since then, he has been going without misfires: three wins in a row, including submission wins over Andre Fili and Nuerdanbek Shailan. In March 2025, Costa showed class against Christian Rodriguez, confidently winning the fight by decision of the judges. His tactical training and balance are impressive. The 28-year-old Brazilian, a former PFL champion, has 22 wins (six by knockout, eight by decision, eight by submission) and six defeats.

Interesting betting trends

The accuracy of Costa's punches is 50 percent. Melquizael has finished opponents in the first round in nine fights in his career.

Trends

Kosta's Victory by Submissionbet

Costa's victory statistics for painful/suffocating are 35 percent

8.20

Tip and bets

2.18Total more than 2.5 rounds

The UFC brought together two fighters on the rise. Eros, with his veteran experience, is up against a young Costa who is rushing to the top. Both are masters of the stalls, so we are waiting for translations and attempts to strangle each other. Julian is a black hole in the stalls, and he has never lost a hand. Melkizael was caught in pain twice, including his UFC debut against Thiago Moises. Standing up also has something to surprise you with, although more often it's a series of punches rather than one-time knockouts. Eros is now in a fiery form and his size gives him an advantage. He's bigger than his opponent, and his finishes in the first round are a warning. It's stupid to write him off because of his age. Costa, on the other hand, showed tactical maturity against Rodriguez, and his defense can prolong the fight. We are waiting for a hard-fought fight that will reach the third round.

Our betting tip is a total of more than 2.5 rounds in 2.18

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