Liontips
Arsenal - Newcastle: betting tip and bets with odds of 2.65
The main event of Sunday's game day on May 18 in the English Premier League will be the confrontation between Arsenal and Newcastle in London. There are neighbors in the standings and direct competitors for the second place. The Magpies have managed to beat the Gunners three times this season, twice in the League Cup and once in the Premier League in the first round. Will Mikel Arteta's men be able to take revenge today and gain a foothold in second place? - the answer is in our betting tip. Roman Pavlyuchenko, the star expert of the website, also shares his bet on the match
Command Analysis
Arsenal
EnglandCurrent form
Arsenal, as usual, remained without titles this season. The Gunners were clearly betting on success in the Champions League, but they couldn't match PSG in the semifinals, losing 0-1 at home and 1-2 away by all accounts. In the Premier League, it was not possible to impose a fight on Liverpool from a distance, and now even the second place, where the Londoners had been in the championship for a long time, is in question. In the event of a defeat today, it will be Newcastle that will come in a clean second place with a round to go.
Undoubtedly, at the end of the season, Arsenal's results were not affected by the heavy losses in the squad. Without Gaby Jesus, Havertz and Takehiro Tomiyasu, the team is having a hard time. As recent matches have shown, the Gunners have no safety margin.
At the moment, taking into account the Champions League and Premier League matches, Arsenal is unbeaten for five matches in a row. Between the matches with PSG, there was an optional defeat against Bournemouth, and even on their own field (1:2). In the previous round, Mikel Arteta's team failed to beat Liverpool, who became the Premier League champion ahead of schedule (2:2). Within two minutes in the first half, the Londoners conceded two goals. The most that could be done was to even the score. Plus, following the results of that meeting, they also lost Merino, who was sent off for two yellow cards.
Disqualifications and injuries
Merino will miss the game as he will be serving a suspension. Gabriel, Jesus, Tomiyasu and Havertz will not play due to injuries. The entry of Rice and Trossard into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last four matches Arsenal have lost in the first half.
- Arsenal have only one win in the previous six rounds in the Premier League.
- The bet on both goals was played in six of the seven previous matches of the Londoners in the championship
- In 9 of Arsenal's last 12 Premier League matches, no more than three goals have been scored.
Approximate line–up: Raya - Timber, Saliba, Kivior, Lewis–Skelly – Partie, Jorginho, Edegor - Saka, Sterling, Martinelli.
Newcastle United
EnglandCurrent form
Newcastle has not yet secured a place in the top 5, which gives them a ticket to the Champions League, but in any case, the season can be considered a success. For the first time in a long time, the Magpies won the title – they won the League Cup. In the semi-finals, they beat Arsenal in two matches (they scored both wins with the same score 2:0), and in the final they defeated Liverpool (2:1).
At the end of the season, Eddie Howe's team does not allow itself an outright decline. In fact, over the past two months, the Magpies have failed only one match, when they suffered a crushing 1-4 defeat away from Aston Villa in the Premier League. In the previous round, Newcastle scored an important victory over a direct competitor for a place in the top 5 Chelsea (2-0). Tonali opened the scoring in the second minute, then in the middle of the first half the Londoners had Jackson removed, which simplified the task for the magpies, in the end Bruno put an end to the match with his precise shot.
By the upcoming match, Newcastle is in third place in the table, only two points behind Arsenal. Accordingly, a victory today will allow us to rise to the second place. Eddie Howe knows how to beat the Gunners, as his team has been stronger three times this season: two wins in the semi-finals of the League Cup and one in the first round of the Premier League at home (1-0).
Disqualifications and injuries
Hall, Joel Clinton and Targett will not play due to injuries. Trippier, Willock, and Botman are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In the last six matches, Newcastle has not lost by offside
- At least three goals have been scored in six of the previous eight league matches in the Premier League.
- Newcastle have won in the first half in three of the last five matches.
- Newcastle have scored two or more goals in six of their previous eight Premier League matches.
Approximate line–up: Pope – Kraft, Cher, Bern–Murphy, Guimaraes, Tonali, Livramento - Barnes, Isak, Gordon.
Trends
Arsenal's Corner WinRate
In 14 of the last 17 matches, Arsenal have taken more corners than their opponents.
1.47The Newcastlebetwill score in the first half
In the previous three head-to-head matches, Newcastle scored goals in the opening 45 minutes.
2.10The bet is an accurate score of 0:2
Newcastle have scored the last three wins in personal meetings with a "dry" score, and twice won 2-0.
20.00The totalrateof Newcastle yellow cards is less than 2.5
Newcastle players have not received more than two warnings in 9 of the last 11 face-to-face meetings in the Premier League at Arsenal
1.43Tip and bets
It's hard to agree with the bookmakers' quotes for this match. Of course, Arsenal are playing at home, they are higher in the table, but the game and the results of the Londoners at the end of the season do not allow us to believe in a confident victory for the Gunners. Taking into account all the tournaments, Mikel Arteta's team has not won in five matches in a row, and the losses in the squad have a serious impact on the quality of the game. Newcastle, on the contrary, has been convincing at the end of the season, allowing themselves to fail only in the game against Aston Villa over the past few months. The Magpies have been stronger in head-to-head matches three times this season, obviously Eddie Howe knows how to play against Arsenal. We believe that the guests will take at least one point away from London today.
Our betting tip is that Newcastle will not lose by a factor of 1.87
Bet on the total
There are direct competitors for second place, obviously no one is going to take any chances, moreover, the same Londoners will be quite satisfied with a draw, and the magpies will not mind taking at least one point. In the previous three head-to-head matches, more than two goals were not scored, we do not think that we should expect a scoring extravaganza today.
The second bet is a total of less than three goals with a coefficient of 1.67
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
We are rivals in many ways comparable in class. In such matches, where there is also a huge motivation, it is hardly worth waiting for someone to win by a margin of more than one goal.
The betting tip is a victory for one of the teams with a one–goal advantage with a coefficient of 2.65
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