Jasmine Paolini - Peyton Stearns: betting tip for the WTA Rome match

Jasmine Polini and Peyton Stearns will compete for victory in the first semi-final of the tournament in Rome on May 15. Both tennis players were not considered among the main contenders for a distant promotion on the grid, but they were able to show their best tennis and deservedly got the opportunity to play in the semifinals. Who has the best chance of winning today and which exact bets should I choose? - the answer is in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Jasmine Paolini

Current form
Paolini had never been able to get beyond the second round in Rome before this year, but now we see her making a real breakthrough at her home tournament. The Italian went through three rounds more than confidently, without giving up a single set, she dealt with Sun, Jaber and Ostapenko. The quarterfinals with Schneider were the most difficult for her. Events on the court in that game developed unpredictably, several times during the match the initiative passed from one tennis player to another, but in the end it was Jasmne who won (6-7, 6-4, 6-2).
Professional qualities
The Italian tennis player relies in her game on reliable actions on the back line, good reception and clear counterattacks. Serving is not her strong suit, which her rivals use.
Current indicators in the tour
Paolini has impressive statistics for the season: 20 wins in 28 matches. She has not won a single title, but she is firmly in the top 10, and is currently the fifth racket in the world.
Interesting facts for betting
- In only one of the last 12 matches, Paolini played three sets.
- In all four matches in Rome with Paolini, more than nine games were played in the first set.

Peyton Stearns

Current form
Stearns became the main opening of the tournament in Rome, as it was hard to expect the 42nd racket of the world to reach the semifinals at such a prestigious tournament. Of course, it is impossible to ignore the fact that in the last three fights, the American played three sets each and pulled out victories in decisive tie-breaks. In this style, she beat Keyes, Osaka and Svitolina. Peyton had easy two-set wins over Bracaccio and Kalinskaya before.
Professional qualities
Peyton is distinguished by his endurance and excellent physical fitness – few people manage to win three three-set battles in a row on clay at one tournament, and even on tie-breaks in decisive games. In general, the American woman's tennis is distinguished by its versatility.
Current indicators in the tour
At the moment, Stearns is the 42nd racket of the world, but he will obviously significantly improve his result after the end of the tournament. In total, she played 27 matches in the tour this year, in which she won 16 victories and suffered 11 defeats.
Interesting facts for betting
- In the previous three matches with Stearns, three sets were played.
- Stearns played tiebreakers in three consecutive matches.
Trends
The Tiebreakbetin the match is yes
Tie-breaks were played in the previous three matches involving Stearns.
3.20Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
This is how events unfolded on the court in Paolini's last five matches.
2.25Tip and bets
The tennis players have difficult three-set quarterfinals behind them, both are well prepared physically, they can withstand prolonged draws without problems, but they do not differ in stable actions on their serve. Stearns has no experience of matches at such a high stage of a major tournament, plus there will be stands against her, which will create additional tension. We believe that Paolini will make it to the finals from this pair.
Our prediction is that Paolini will win with a handicap of (-3) games with a coefficient of 1.72
Bet on the total
Stearns still has a lot of strength, and today there's definitely a lot of practice to be done on the back line in long draws. We expect that the American will not be able to withstand another protracted match.
The second bet is a total of less than 21 games in 1.79
Bet on the first set
Let's note a promising trend for the first set. In five consecutive matches with Paolini's participation, more than nine games were played during this playing period, which we are waiting for today.
The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set with a coefficient of 2.14