LiontipsSao Paulo - Libertad: betting tip (cf 2.45) and bets on the Copa Libertadores match (May 15, 2025) from UPU
Command Analysis
Current form
Sao Paulo turned out to be far from the easiest group of the Copa Libertadores, but even before the start of the group stage it was considered a clear favorite. In four rounds, Luis Subeldia's team proved to be very powerful and made only one mistake, drawing a 2-2 draw with the Alliance at home in the second round. With 10 points, the tricolours are currently leading the group and three points ahead of the second Libertad, the third Alliance has six points less and poses no threat – a ticket to the playoffs has already been secured, but Sao Paulo clearly expects to win the group.
Disqualifications and injuries
Calleri, Vinicius, Lucas Moura and Luis Gustavo are injured.
Interesting betting trends
- Sao Paulo has not lost in the group yet - three wins and a draw
- In four of the last five home matches, Sao Paulo has missed
Approximate composition: Rafael - Diaz, Franco, Rouen, Soares – Marco, Alisson, Ferreira, Mateusz, Ferraresi – Andersinho.
Current form
Libertad found itself in a very difficult, even and strong group, in which it was not considered a clear contender for the playoffs before the start of the group stage - Sao Paulo and Talleres had this status. However, so far Sergio Aquino's team looks more than decent and has excellent chances of reaching the playoffs, taking second place in the table with seven points after four rounds. At the same time, a three-point gap from the third Alliance obliges us to cling to points today, in the last round los Repolleros meet with the Peruvians at home and there will definitely be no room for error.
Disqualifications and injuries
Jimenez is disqualified.
Interesting betting trends
- Libertad has not won in the last seven matches – three defeats and four draws.
- Libertad has not scored in the last five matches.
Approximate composition: Acosta – Espinosa, Florentin, Viera, Ramirez – Campuzano, Sanabria, Fretes, Benitez, Fernandez - Santa Cruz.
Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
The last two home wins of Sao Paulo were scored with this score
8.60The Sao Paulobetwill score in the first half
In the last two home matches of Sao Paulo, such a bet was successful.
1.85The Libertadbetwill score in the first half
In two of the last three home matches, Sao Paulo conceded in the first half.
3.75Tip and bets
Libertad still holds the second place in the group, but the situation is extremely unstable and there is a serious risk of remaining without a playoff. For sure, the Paraguayans will be very determined today and will try to take advantage of the lack of huge motivation from the hosts – the tricolours are almost in the playoffs. Libertad is quite capable of interrupting its protracted dry streak, but at the same time it will be almost impossible to win back against Sao Paulo on a visit, tricolor has a huge advantage in class.
We believe that there will be goals in the match. The betting tip is that both will score. This bet is offered with a coefficient of 2.45
Betting on the outcome
Sao Paulo is in excellent shape and is definitely the favorite of the match, having a serious advantage in class over the opponent. Despite the fact that the tournament position does not oblige the tricolours to turn on maximum momentum and play only to win, the hosts will surely take their three points in class – despite the fact that it is vital for Libertado to cling to points today, the Paraguayans have recently lost their form and look frankly weak, in this state they can count on success in Brazil It's going to be very difficult.
The bet is the victory of Sao Paulo. This bet is offered for 1.61
Betting on corners
Sao Paulo obviously won't allow their opponents to leave their half of the field often at home and will attack for the full 90 minutes - the tricolor team should win confidently from the corners.
The bet is an Asian handicap (-2) on corners in Sao Paulo. This bet is offered for 1.69
