LiontipsJack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz: prediction and bets on the ATP Rome match
Command Analysis
Current form
Draper defeated Corentin Muta in the fourth round of the Rome Masters, 6-1, 4-6, 6-3. In the confrontation with the Frenchman, Jack made two aces, made three break points and lost three games on his serve. Earlier, he passed Vita Kopriva and Luciano Darderi in the tournament bracket.
Professional qualities
Draper is a hardy tennis player. He is able to run around the court without stopping, while delivering powerful punches throughout the match. It seems that the British never get tired. However, his style of play is too straightforward - he relies only on brute force, without variety in attack.
Current indicators in the tour
Draper is currently ranked fifth in the world. This season, the 23-year-old Briton won the Indian Wells Masters, thereby winning his third ATP title in his career.
Interesting facts for betting
Draper has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
Current form
Alcaraz beat Karen Khachanov 6-3, 3-6, 7-5 in the fourth round of the competition in Rome. In the match against the Russian, Carlos scored one ace, made five break points and lost four games on his serve. Earlier in the tournament, the Spaniard scored victories over Luciano Darderi and Dusan Lajovic.
Professional qualities
It is difficult to find weaknesses in Alcaraz, but recently backhand failures have become noticeable. He's not always stable on that side, whether he's playing defense or offense. Plus, he is plagued by injuries - problems with his arm and a bandaged hip.
Current indicators in the tour
Alcaraz is the third racket of the world at the moment. During his career, the 22-year-old Spaniard has won 19 ATP titles. He has completed two of them this season, winning at Indore in Rotterdam and on clay in Monte Carlo.
Interesting facts for betting
7 of Alcaraz's last 8 matches have been played in two sets.
Trends
The bet is Alcaraz's Victory
Alcaraz has won in 12 of the last 13 matches
1.39Alcaraz's ITrateis less than 13.5
Alcaraz has won less than 13.5 games in 7 of the last 8 matches
1.41The 1st setbetis Alcaraz's victory
Alcaraz won the 1st set in 7 of the last 8 meetings
1.44Bet the 2nd set - Alcaraz wins
Alcaraz has won the 2nd set in 11 of the last 13 meetings.
1.44The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
7 of Alcaraz's last 8 matches have been played in two sets.
1.55The Totalbetis less than 21.5
A total of less than 21.5 games has been played in 7 of Alcaraz's last 8 matches.
2.11Tip and bets
Draper looks tired - for the second tournament in a row, the Briton is playing without a proper break. Hence, such a hard failure in the first set against Muthe, in which Jack lost 1-6. We believe that fatigue will affect Draper's game in the confrontation with Alcaraz. So we expect a rematch performed by the Spaniard for the defeat in Indian Wells this year.
Our prediction is that Alcaraz will win with a handicap of (-3) games by a factor of 1.79
Bet on the total
Draper's strength is slowly leaving him, because for the second tournament in a row he is playing almost without a break. We believe that the more charged and fresh Alcaraz will be able to beat the Briton in two sets.
The second betting tip is a total of less than 23 games for a coefficient of 1.77
Bet on the first set
In three of Alcaraz's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming duel against Draper will also start with the grassroots first game.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.86
